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Thunder vs. Jazz: Pre-game primer

by Royce Young on January 30, 2009 at 2:53 pm 7 Comments

okc6 vs. uth

Oklahoma City Thunder (11-35, 3-18 road) vs. Utah Jazz (25-21, 17-6 home)

TV: FS Oklahoma (Cox 37, HD 722)
Radio:
WWLS The Sports Animal (98.1 FM, 640 AM)

Offensive Rating: Thunder: 102.3 (28th), Utah: 109.4 (9th)
Defensive Rating: Thunder: 108.6 (18th), Utah: 107.1 (14th)
Pace: Thunder: 93.7 (6th), Utah: 92.1 (11th)

Maybe Kevin Durant will use the snub to power him to a huge game, because we know the Jazz are going have a little incentive after the beatdown Oklahoma City put on them last meeting. And there’s nothing more I’d love than a good win so we can all email Ross Siler again and tell him how much he sucks at trying to be clever.

So far the season series is 1-1 with each team protecting their home floor. And I fully expect that to happen again tonight. I love the way OKC is playing right now, with the offense clicking and the defense challenging every shot but two things: 1) Utah plays very well at home (12-1 against the West) and 2) The impact of losing Desmond Mason. The thing about losing Mason is that the team will feel the sting on the defensive end, but especially tonight. Why? Because tonight, Scott Brooks has to try and figure out how he’s going to swing it without Mason. It’s going to be tough to figure out what pairings work on the fly and I expect to see some defensive lapses early.

Another thing is that the Jazz are slipping. They’ve lost four in a row and I’m sure they’re looking at this one as a chance to right themselves a little. They just lost Andrei Kirilenko for an extended period and are still without Carlos Boozer. And OKC didn’t see Paul Millsap when the two teams last met and Millsap changes a lot of things. He’s a strong rebounder and a big body on the blocks.

But losing Kirilenko – a strong defender – really hurts. Over the last nine, the Jazz are giving up 108 points a game and allowing opponents to shoot almost 50 percent. While OKC will surely miss Mason, the Jazz might miss Kirilenko more.

It’s been almost two years since the Jazz lost three in a row at home and almost the same amount of time since the Thunder franchise has won three in a row, period. The Thunder’s not the best road team, but there’s no doubt in my mind that OKC will have a chance in the fourth quarter. And that’s always the key on the road – just be in the game with 12 minutes to go. Give yourself a chance. And when you have Kevin Durant on your team, you have a pretty good chance if you’re close.

One thing that’s totally unrelated: Everybody is talking All-Star snubs today, but let’s look at the players that were snubbed from the “snub list.” In the East, nobody is talking about Jose Calderon, Ben Gordon, Tayshaun Prince, Richard Jefferson and Emeka Okafor. In the West, Jason Terry, Manu Ginobli, Jamal Crawford, John Salmons, Mehmet Okur and LaMarcus Aldridge.

If we continue on, we can finally get to the conclusion we’re all looking for. That Robert Swift was snubbed from the list of snubbed snubs, and then was snubbed from that corresponding list. Basically, if you take it far enough, you can somehow put Robert Swift into the All-Star discussion. Fun!

But anyway, back to the matter at hand. OKC at Utah. Just no way Utah doesn’t come out intense and looking to get back on track. They’re at home, they play well there and OKC isn’t so great on the road. Plus, this just feels like the type of game OKC loses. The Thunder messed around with a team they could have easily put away two nights ago and we might see some hangover from that. But if I’m wrong, I love it. I love being wrong when I think OKC is going to lose. I’ll even make a prediction for funs: Utah 99, Oklahoma City 95. There. Now watch me be wrong – hopefully.

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Joe
Joe 5pts

Yucky game. I should have kept my comment to myself.

Royce
Royce 5pts

64 first half points and pathetic defensive rebounding. There's no "force" inside, if you will.

Joe
Joe 5pts

I think we have a very good chance in this one. I think that Kirilenko is a much bigger loss for them than Boozer is. Booz is backed up by Milsap who is big time. Few people in the NBA do what AK does. He is a good rebounder, plays great defense, blocks shots, scores effectively and has that high basketball IQ. He's #13 in the entire NBA in adjusted +/- for the last two years. I suppose they will use more Brewer and Harpring in that spot.

Mason is very important to the Thunder too however. He is a -.44 on adjusted +/-, so basically even. He is on our best, long minute lineup and somehow Brooks has to figure out the puzzle. But I think we are in this game. I would be surprised if we weren't. If Kirilenko were playing, and Mason was out I would think we were in big trouble in Utah, but we should be very competitive tonight.

okcnba
okcnba 5pts

All I ask is for them to make it tight. If we go down by double digits early it will be hard for me to keep watching, it always sucks playing in Utah... and not just because there's nothing to do there other than an olympics that happened six years ago.

AD
AD 5pts

I dont know Royce... I've got a feeling that our guys go in there tonight with some "want-to"... I know we're going to play the Jazz tough... If we can get them on their heels early maybe we can keep them there...

Royce
Royce 5pts

I looked for a solid 30 minutes trying to find an update on Weaver but I got nowhere. I've got this quote from Brooks and that's it:

"It could be very flexible,” Brooks said. "It could be game-to-game. It could be a few games. Or it could be we’re on a roll (so stay with the same lineup). Our guys practice with each other and against each other all year. We just ask them to play hard and play together no matter who is out there.”

So who knows. I'd like to see Weaver personally.

Jax Raging Bile Duct
Jax Raging Bile Duct 5pts

I'll keep my eye on the SLC Tribune. I haven't sponsored an email Vendetta in too long.

I'll be looking for chemistry tonight. I haven't heard how Weaver's bruise is doing, but I can't find anywhere that says he's still listed as day to day. I haven't seen a projected starting line up either. Utah is too tough a place to play, and the Jazz too savvy to miss the opportunity to get back on track for me to expect a win. So I'm looking for chemistry, and for the guy who will step up, especially on the defensive end.

Go Thunder!

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