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Ben Gordon might not, but Richard Hamilton would

by Royce Young on April 30, 2009 at 10:09 am 63 Comments

I’m not much for trade rumors and trade mongering. You could sit around all day and say, “OK, how about 2012′s unprotected first rounder, the rights to DeVon Hardin and Chucky Atkins’ expiring contract for Chris Paul. Come on, the Hornets would have to do this.” It kind of gets old. It’s just hypothesizing about trades that will almost never, ever, ever happen. But sometimes it’s fun. And sometimes, it makes complete sense.

So with the word on the street being that the Pistons want to break up their trio of Rip Hamilton, Tayshaun Prince and Rasheed Wallace, I think you’ve got to look at options. I mentioned back in - heck, I don’t know when I mentioned it – but I mentioned sometime how much I like Hamilton’s game for this team (I also said I sort of liked Grant Hill, but to a lesser degree). Quality defender, smart offensive player, great veteran leader that still has some gas in the tank and most importantly, fills the dead body slot at two-guard.

The Pistons just recently signed Hamilton to a five-year, $55 million contract. I don’t really like how big that number is and I definitely don’t like the length of the contract considering Rip is 31 with nine years and 742 games on his odometer. I think at some point within the next five years, Hamilton will have one, maybe two seasons of where he misses 20-30 games with some nagging injuries. The most he’s missed during his career was 15 this year. But the fact is, RIGHT NOW, Hamilton is still an excellent shooting guard. He’s 6-7 and has averaged at least 17 points a game since his second season. And while I wrote about Ben Gordon’s gunner mentality and how that doesn’t work because he’s a 16 shot a game guy and at least 1,000 shots a season, Hamilton does almost the exact same thing averaging 15.6 shots a game and took 1,043 this season.

So what makes him work?

1) Because he’s a smart veteran that doesn’t have that same “shoot first” mentality. He’s a guy working within the offense and was even willing to go to the bench for the sake of the team this year.

2) Because he’s older and he’s going to realize that he’s not going to be the scorer anymore. Again, sort of like Grant Hill has done later in his career. He’s still a quality guy worth the money, but he’s not “The Man” for much longer.

3) Because something’s got to be done with shooting guard. I love Thabo, but he’s not much more than a defensive whiz right now. I love Kyle Weaver but he’s got a ways to go. And if this team wants to start competing NOW, a move like this should be made. He’s the jumpshooting two OKC needs and can provide scoring and serviceable defense while still leaving room for Thabo and Weaver to get minutes.

4) Because Rip Hamilton is NOT Ben Gordon. Gordon is a guy that can douse the scoreboard with gasoline and throw a molatov cocktail on it. He can light the thing up. But he’s 37 points, 1 rebound and 0 assists waiting to happen. Hamilton is 18 points, 5 rebounds, 4 assists waiting to happen. They may both be from UCONN and have similar career averages across the board, but they’re entirely different.

The downside is his contract and the potential of aging/injury issues. Has he lost anything? Is he still the quality defender that can match up with other elite shooting guards? Would he really be willing to accept a lesser role and play fourth fiddle to Durant, Westbrook and Green? Would he be OK with going from 18 points a game on 15 shots to 14 points a game on 12 shots? Do I really want a guy on my teams that wears one of those plastic masks all the time? Those are tough questions with tough answers. Those are quality reasons to balk at such a bold move. I could certainly see why someone would hesitate. Though he does pass one of my first and most difficult questions. Can I actually picture him in a Thunder uniform? Yes, yes I can.

But again, Hamilton’s not a free agent. You’ve got to give up something to get him. Detroit wants to clean house, but they don’t want dirt in return. They’re going to want something worth their while. So let me pose the scenario:

OKC gets the No. 4 pick in the draft. Nobody’s willing to deal for the Thunder to move into Griffin/Rubio territory. Do you trade Chucky Atkins and Earl Watson (ESPN Trade Machine says YES!) but they’re going to want more) plus your first round pick for Rip Hamilton? Basically, you’re trading James Harden/Hasheem Thabeet/Demar DeRozen for Hamilton and his five-year, $11M contract. Is that a worthy trade? Obviously, Sam Presti was willing to take on Tyson Chandler’s $11M per, so taking on Rip’s wouldn’t hurt him that much. The only thing is that the move feels a little out of character for Presti. It’s not that slow, patient, well-executed, well-conceived deal that’s “all part of the plan.” It’s a bit more abrupt, more aggressive and more bold. I don’t know if that’s like him. It’s sort of high risk, high reward instead of low risk, high reward.

Maybe I’m setting the price too high and the Thunder could trade their late first rounder or maybe even next year’s unprotected No. 1. Maybe. I don’t know how Joe Dumars is thinking. I do know he’s trying to dump salary for 2010. And Chucky Atkins and Earl Watson have expiring contracts… But I’d assume he’d ask for this year’s top pick. If not, then bully for us.

I look at Hamilton a bit like what the Spurs did with Michael Finley. That’s right THE SPURS MODEL. He was 32 years old and a former two-time All-Star. He averaged 15.7 ppg his last season in Dallas and the Spurs got him with the idea to be a veteran shooter/scorer for Tony Parker to dish to and for Finley to defend his position well. He was a great leader that was willing to accept a role (like Hamilton). In Dallas, he had five straight seasons of averaging 20-plus a game, but his first season in San Antonio, he put up 10.7. That team won a franchise record 63 games and lost the Mavericks in a grueling 7-game series but then won another NBA title the next season. Safe to say Finley worked. And for the same reasons, I think Hamilton could in OKC. Though, it’s hard to say if Rip’s ready to tug back on the reins like Finley did at about this time in his career and become “Richard Hamilton: Role Player” instead of “Richard Hamilton: Star Player.” Every guy is different and it’s impossible to know.

So while we can probably agree Hamilton fits, the question is, is he worth the price? Not just the contract, but is an aging, 31-year-old solid veteran better than a 21-year-old potentially solid rookie? I’m the kind of guy that says worry about next year when next year gets here. Sure the Celtics could have taken the slow route and kept Al Jefferson and Jeff Green and had a strong nucleus and a budding team that could compete long term, but don’t you think their fans are enjoying that 17th banner the recent success? Anything short of the top two picks and if Detroit’s willing, I’m making the deal. It may be high risk, but the reward. Oh baby, the reward.

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corded drill
corded drill 5pts

Salutations from a greatly pleased reader !! In modern days it has gotten more and more tricky a task to read excellent level blogs on the internet. I am so proud I'm one of those who has stumbled upon a web log such as yours !!

brih
brih 5pts

круто пишете, но вроде бы повтор

medianaft
medianaft 5pts

Статья оригинальная, но помоему я где-то видел что-то подобное в интернете. Или я не прав?

Komiks
Komiks 5pts

Сдесь комменты можно почитать и в цирк не ходить!! бред какойто.

Robert
Robert 5pts

If the only problem with Rip is his age and the fact we have good people that would be waiting behind him, really, those seem to cancel each other out. You get 2 good years of starter's minutes out of him and then start to phase in Weaver and Thabo along the way. I don't see why this is seen as such a "high risk" move. Seems like a no brainer to me. Also Royce, why can't this site have a forum or a message board? I mean the comments are practically the same thing, but the conversations that are more than a day or so old are alot easier forgotten about I think. Or maybe atleast be linked to one?

kev
kev 5pts

@james

Thabo's my favorite player in the NBA. That being said, its up to him to work on his offensive game to justify keeping his starting spot.

Royce
Royce 5pts

I'm not giving up on Thabo by any means (or Kyle Weaver for that matter). They could evolve into solid offensive players. They just aren't RIGHT NOW.

Keith
Keith 5pts

@james
The issue is that, in order to count on Sefalosha, we have to bank on a 4 year veteran suddenly upping his offensive game considerably. We need a two that can hit open shots, especially threes. Sefalosha isn't that guy right now. We would all love if the lineup we have can get it done, but 21-61 kind of precludes us being a contender without any changes.

james
james 5pts

Why is everyone discounting Sefolosha after getting only 2 months of real playing time in the NBA? He is only going to get better. In the 14 games Sef played (and started I believe) in March he averaged 9.6 ppg, 5.3 rpg, 2.4 apg, 1.5 bpg, and 1.9 steals. Not too far off what was projected for Rip, and the numbers are likely to increase with more experience. Save the cash and trade up for Griffin, or trade a dominant post scorer.

kev
kev 5pts

@Robert

it would be a great post IF Rip wasn't 31 - you don't grab a player on his way down . . .

Paul
Paul 5pts

Do I really want a guy on my teams that wears one of those plastic masks all the time?
hahahaha classic

Keith
Keith 5pts

@Robert
Excellent post, Robert.

Robert
Robert 5pts

@Joe

- I would think you could find a leader with the savvy and the intangibles for something less than 44mil/4years.

No way, Not anyone with his experience. Who were you thinking? Ray Allen? Joe Johnson? Paul Pierce? Manu? Those are about the only guys on traditional playoff teams I see out there. No way I want Allen or Pierce. SA is not going to give up Manu. Johnson is more expensive, and has less leadership and experience,

If we all agree that Rip would be a good fit playing-style wise, then why not want him? We need leadership and experience, obviously that's going to come from a veteran. And when I say veteran, I don't mean Earl Watson or Desmond Mason. If we are going to be a playoff team we need a veteran who actually helps our team on the court as well as off. There are 0 veterans as good as Rip is overall, who also has the savvy and experience of winning championships like he does, and is paid less. Simply put - if you want to get someone else for less money, you'll be sacrificing some characteristic or skill of Rip that that someone else won't have.

Joe
Joe 5pts

@Keith
I accept the premise Keith, but do you think that adding Rip would be the difference next year between say 34 wins and 44 wins? I don't think so, but I could be wrong. If as you say, his leadership and savvy would transcend his effect on the win/loss column, how do you quantify that?

I would think you could find a leader with the savvy and the intangibles for something less than 44mil/4years.

BTW, Rip produced his worst defensive rating of his career this last season, and his worst offensive rating since the '04-'05 season. I am a fan of Rips, very much so, but I have "sticker shock" thinking of Rip in Thunder Blue.

Kev
Kev 5pts

good point, but what does Rip give you - one good year, two? The average is probably two - paying 55 mil or 44 mil (or whatever) for two good years is not a sound investment . . .

Keith
Keith 5pts

@Kev
Of course you can compare. The question is simply whether your team is better with one player or the other, everything included. What does one bring, what is it worth financially. What does the other bring, and the same. I think Royce said it best in that Rip (or an equivalent vet) is a win-now move. A draft pick is a win-in-a-few-years move. We have several glaring holes. You either fill them over time and hope your guys put it together on their own, or you fill them with veterans who you know can make a specific contribution.

Kev
Kev 5pts

an easy comparison, even though the sport is different, is to look at the Patriots of the NFL - Hamilton is the type of player they are looking to RELEASE, not sign . . .

------------------

we just need to be patient , and the players we HAVE need to play better on both ends - hasty moves set franchises back several years . . .

Kev
Kev 5pts

can't compare the two when one is making triple what the other makes . . .

Keith
Keith 5pts

@Joe
Proven commodity vs. potential. Harden looks like a great spot up shooter with middling athleticism. For a team that needs a leader, needs a veteran who can teach guys how to play and carry themselves in the league, do you pick up a rookie who might be nothing, or do you pick up a veteran who is bigger, savvier, and probably more athletic even at 31?

Like I said, I don't expect Rip to even be traded, but I don't think we of so much cap and in need of veteran leadership should so quickly be worrying about 2013. We could very well still be a young team that never puts it together in 2013, which would be much worse than having less cap but fielding a proven winner.

Joe
Joe 5pts

There really is no sense debating it, your whole physicality begins to decline in your early thirties.

Take for example Mitch Richmond. In every way a super offensive player all throughout his career. Until the season of his 33rd year. Big drop in points/36 and offensive rating from a career above 112 to 102 the following year.

MJ's last year in Chicago when he was 34, his offensive rating suddenly tanked, never to recover.

Gary Payton at 34.

Pippen at 33.

Reggie Miller seems to be the exception. The point is that you don't want to be paying a 35 year old like the players that are 29 and blowing by him while he tries to defend.

Kev
Kev 5pts

agree with the above post . . . a lot of GMs try for the quick fix and throw money at the problem instead of properly evaluating talent and using the draft properly - that's why I wouldnt like a Hamilton signing - it looks okay now, but do you really want to be paying a 35 year old 11+ million dollars? Hope Presti continues the trend of great player personnel decisions . . .

Keith
Keith 5pts

@J.G.
I think my argument (age versus conditioning) comes down to this. You are assuming that Rip is outrunning his defender around those screens, whereas I am saying that it is the screen (not his speed) that makes the difference. We can argue that I suppose, but you're simply not going to convince me that a player needs to be fast when they have a big man standing between him and his defender. Jerry Rice isn't a good comparison because he didn't have a screener, his cuts, his routes, and his jumps were all about his athleticism. Rip isn't outrunning his defender, he's just using angles to force his defender to run farther than he does.

The reason that the pick and roll, the high screen, the double screen, and everything involved there is so effective is because anyone can do it as long as they execute. Rip will slow down with age, that's a given. However, I have no doubts that he can still run around.

The spending part really gets me too. NBA players, in general, are just ridiculously overpaid. Look at Wilkins, Watson, an even Collison on our own team. Are those guys even close to worth their contracts? No. But they pale in comparison to the horrible contracts littering the entire league. Guys are routinely paid for their potential, and it's idiotic.

Kev
Kev 5pts

what's so sad is that I turned it off after the Celts went up 99-91 late in the 4th - smart for me in not remembering that seemingly every game has gone OT . . .

Joe
Joe 5pts

Dang, I kinda wanted to watch the Polish hammer Marcin Gortat tonight, but it's not a close game, and the Celts/Bulls are on and it's close, and in overtime now!!!grrr.

Kev
Kev 5pts

I appreciate the intelligent responses - so many other boards are littered with drivel or profane comments - nice to have some order and thought provoking statements . . .

J.G.
J.G. 5pts

@Royce
Haha, hey now, I said "potential."

I think 4 years $44 million is too much then, too. :P Especially since I have wanted to and really want to sign free agent to be Marcin Gortat to a 5 year, $25 million contract (or 3 year, $13.25 million) now.

Joe
Joe 5pts

It's nice to see so many posts and comments. A good basketball discussion is great.

Royce
Royce 5pts

J.G. :
That’s what I’ve been trying to say. Maybe it’ll resonate more coming from someone else. Is Rip worth a potential 5 years and $55 million–sadly, no. If only we could add him for less…

Again, not that it's a HUGE difference, but we'd have him at four years, $44 million.

J.G.
J.G. 5pts

@Keith
Very informative and interesting post regarding the number of teams under the cap/over the cap/paying the luxury tax.

We're also on the same page regarding Rip's decline this year as can be mostly attributed to the departure of Chauncey and other factors as well.

That being said, :), I still can not believe you're debating the reality that overall physical conditioning fades the more a person ages. I mean, it's science. The perfect example of this would be Jerry Rice. No more conditioned athlete in the NFL, but time even caught up with him. Also, a marathon is not the best parallel for a stop-and-start sport like basketball, where it's quick bursts of movement sustained over time instead of a continual output of energy. Speed and athleticism are pretty much the essential components of the NBA game, so unless Rip learns how to adapt his game like Kobe has and MJ did, then I would have concerns about him in 3-4 years.

Am I saying someone can't stay in shape past 30, 40 and 50? Of course not. Am I saying that it's statistically proven that our ability to maintain maximum oxygen intake while outputting a tremendous amount of muscular effort declines once we pass a certain age...yes, that's been proven. Especially a player who's approaching the magic 1,000 game mark in the NBA and one who literally does not stand still in order to get his shots (we still disagree about Ray Allen and Rip having similar styles since I can name on one hand how many times I've seen Rip simply plant his feet and wait for the ball to be moved around the key for him; he's always moving).

Fortunately though, I'll always agree with you that you have to spend to win in the NBA (or any other sport).

@Joe
That's what I've been trying to say. Maybe it'll resonate more coming from someone else. Is Rip worth a potential 5 years and $55 million--sadly, no. If only we could add him for less...

@Steve H
I don't see Green moving anytime soon. The fact that he made leaps and bounds this year and basically played out of position as a PF with his heels on the three, plus he's really good friends with the two true cornerstones of the team...and who knows what kind of damage moving him would do to team chemistry (though I'd move him if the price were right, of course).

Whew, too many posts to respond to for the off-season. :)

donuteyes
donuteyes 5pts

is rip hamilton ready to be a role-player? i'd argue that's all he ever was. look at the pistons without chauncy billups. i know they have other problems, but he is not a franchise player. it turns out billups was.

Joe
Joe 5pts

I'd fall out of my chair if we traded Green to get the top pick. I'm not saying it would never happen, just not likely.

If Washington gets the top pick, would they rather have Green backing up Antwain Jamison, or Blake Griffin? Duh.

If Sacramento gets the top pick, would they rather have Green or Blake? Duh.

If the Clippers get the top pick, why would they want another big? They've already got so many. Zach, Camby, Caveman etc. But then again the Clippers always do stupid stuff.

I just can't see anybody taking Green's steady, 16 and 7 when you have a serious potential game changer at the top of the pack. Are you saying Green AND swapping firsts? That would be a steep price, and a bold move. It could happen, but man, that would take some serious stones if you know what I mean.

Royce
Royce 5pts

Something to point also, is really Rip's contract is more like four years $44M. He's already got one year down. So if five years, $55M is freaking you out, it's really four and $44M.

Joe
Joe 5pts

"So while we can probably agree Hamilton fits, the question is, is he worth the price? Not just the contract, but is an aging, 31-year-old solid veteran better than a 21-year-old potentially solid rookie?"

In a word: NO.

I am not in favor of giving wings the big contracts except in the unique situation. Obviously you give the Wade's, Kobe's and Lebron's the jack, but not the Ben Gordons, the Larry Hughes, the Michael Redd's. It hamstrings the franchise, and those guys don't bring wins. The big guys get the money in the best franchise models, and the wings and little guys are the complimentary players. That said, plus the age of Rip and the length of contract are a big noooooooooooo no.

If you did the Rip deal, you would have no money to pay KD, Westbrook, Green, Rip, a new first this year and a first or two next year AND have money when that occasionally rare big man drops in your lap.

If the Sixers want to trade Dalembert, or if we get a chance to grab Marcus Camby for a year or two, that would help the franchise much more than Rip would.

Robert
Robert 5pts

For me the biggest asset to having Rip would be his leadership. There is NO ONE on our team right now that knows how to win like he does or even begin to feel what that's like to win as much as he has. How many tight games did we win this year? Yep, that's right, close to 0. How many leads did we blow this year? How many "mental lapses" did we see towards the ends of games this year? Our guys are sooo young that I would pull the trigger on Rip no doubt...for the right price. Sad he's not a free agent. As I said a couple of days ago he's the PERFECT 2 guard that we need right now. We need a shooter and a leader, and his name is Rip Hamilton.

Kev
Kev 5pts

@Steve H

excellent post . . .

Steve H
Steve H 5pts

Love the idea of adding Hamilton, but only if we land Griffin, or have managed to pick up Boozer or Lee via a sign and trade deal shedding at least 10-12 mill in existing salary (Collison, Watson, maybe Green if necessary and Picks). Getting a reliable post scorer should be Presti's top priority this off-season. If he can accomplish that AND add Rip Hamilton, I'm going to get "I Heart Presti" tatooed on my forehead. As much as I love Uncle Jeff, I'll be suprised if we don't move him this off-season to either move-up in the draft, or to land a big name starter like Rip. Hard to see Jeff's trade value going up if we move him to the bench- and that IS going to happen if we land Griffin,Boozer or Lee.

Keith
Keith 5pts

@J.G.
Shaq is a poor example since he's 7 years older than Rip and was helping Miami (who probably won't get out of the first round even with Wade) win a championship 3 years ago (same age when Rip will be an expiring contract). Shaq is also a totally different story since he's 7'2" and has been destroying his knees with that 325 lb body since he got into the league.

And I still disagree with you on in shape. If your view was true, no one over the age of 30 would ever finish a marathon, much less be in contention to win it. Speed and athleticism will decline with age, yes, but your ability to stay in shape and give continuous effort does not.

Running around screens CAN be about speed and athleticism, but generally isn't. Getting space off a screen has more to do with the quality of the screener and ability of the team to utilize the open man. Look at Ray Allen. He runs around screens a whole lot as well. Ray and Rip have the same body type and offensive game (shooters that utilize space and timing more than sheer athleticism), why would Rip break down any more than Ray has at the same age (which would be 3 years from now)? You could say Ray has more wear on his legs because he was forced to carry the Sonics for years, whereas Rip has always been able to work in the flow of a unified team (minus this last season).

I am a little worried about his 3 point percentage as well, but not much. He wasn't taking worse shots overall, the offense just broke down all the time in Detroit. Rip was forced to hoist up the best shot he could get as time ran down, or force something in the 4th when no one else (besides a terrible shooter AI) wanted the ball. Also, the team didn't have the ball movement to make up for their lack of a star. Rip was the key guy to shut down for opposing defenses. In OKC, he would benefit greatly from the defensive attention KD gets, and the slashing ability of Westbrook.

I wish you didn't have the spend (or overspend) for a contender, but I wonder if it's even possible. Here are some numbers for thought.

0 - number of playoff teams under the cap during the season.
1 - the number of teams under the cap during this season (Memphis).
6 - number of playoff teams in top 8 in payroll.
7 - number of playoff teams listed above the luxury tax line.
43 - number of players making more than Rip Hamilton.

It should be noted that, should Denver have not been able to unload Camby for nothing (an all finance move), both of the top seeds in both conferences would be paying the luxury tax. As it is, Orlando is already set up to be paying the tax next year just to field a full roster.

Nix
Nix 5pts

I like to think of kev as my older smarter brother...and Royce is the cousin you hangout with if you get a chance...Joe is the brother of Royce (also your cousin)...but he's isn't around quite as much as Royce...

J.G.
J.G. 5pts

@Keith
Um, Keith, conditioning is an age thing, too. A significant one. :) That's why you see Shaq sitting out games and, of course, why the wear and tear factor causes more injuries for someone who plays like Rip does. The older you get the less your body can take, especially if you've put a lot of mileage on it to begin with (which Rip certainly has due to the way he plays the game).

But still, if you're significantly a step slower than the person guarding you, it doesn't matter how in shape you are, the defender will make up any space you get from a screen or a curl because he will still be right on you because of that one step advantage/disadvantage.

Running around and coming of screens are directly related to speed and athleticism as well. Curls have to be crisp, pivots have to have signficant pop or else the ability to separate is compromised. That's why you see quick, athletic players coming off of screens and not slow, lumbering ones.

I definitely agree about Rip doing everything else though, and like I said, would love to have him...for a different price. And Rip's drop in three point% does concern me (is it just a flash in the pan or the start of something more? Because going from 44% to 36% could be explained as not having Chauncey there, but he didn't force up more shots statistically unless of course you mean he took bad ones, which also concerns me: Is he compensating for a lack of separation?).

So, again, I agree with a lot of your points, but still wouldn't pull the trigger. And I'm definitely aware of the NBA's "soft cap" rule, but the stats show that while most NBA teams hold contracts valued in excess of the salary cap, few teams have payrolls at luxury tax levels.

So I seriously hope you're right about the luxury tax issue if it becomes a reality, I really do. But that's why I'm so eager for the Thunder to remain as far away from it as necessary without compromising talent, you know?

Keith
Keith 5pts

@J.G.
I didn't actually mention the luxury tax, I was just saying above the cap. Luxury tax doesn't kick in until about 15 million over the cap. The most important thing to realize is that even with Rip, the team wouldn't be anywhere near the luxury tax line (and not even over the salary cap) until Durant and Green are extended. If we don't have a team at or close to contention by then, there is a problem, and it won't be money. Contending teams are always over the cap and close to or over the luxury tax. If Bennet and Co won't pay extra for a contender, then there is no reason to talk about a future in the first place.

Also, Rip is not a pure shooter like Ray, but he does everything else. Ray could shoot, but that was it. He didn't defend and didn't get his teammates involved much (despite having the ball in his hands all the time). Rip has been a good defender his whole career while also being the Piston's leading scorer. The fact that he comes off screens and shoots in rhythm means his games SHOULDN'T degrade much with age, since it's not based on speed or athleticism. The ability to run around isn't an age thing, it's a conditioning thing. The ability to blow by your man and leap to the rim are age related. You can say Rip isn't the three point shooter that Ray is, but 36% last year (when he had to force a lot more shots) isn't bad, especially when he shot 44% from 3 just the year before.

J.G.
J.G. 5pts

@Keith
You really think Bennett and Co will go over the cap and pay the luxury tax? I don't. And that is what ties the Thunder's hands regarding the Larry Bird rule.

And Rip is not a pure shooter like Ray Allen is...at all. He's a curling-off-a-screen shooter, aka, he is constantly running around and using his legs to get free and shoot in motion off of the catch. Translation: He is exactly the type of SG that would see a dropoff because of his age because of how he plays the game. That's the main reason why you could argue that he could be less effective from here on out.

I do agree with you though that I don't see the Pistons moving him. Stuckey's not enough to build on by himself.

kev
kev 5pts

good column though Royce -

and excellent commentary by all . . .

I love this place . . .

kev
kev 5pts

Rip's an ideal piece - but NOT with that salary and length . . .

PASS . . .

Royce
Royce 5pts

@Keith
Excellent post. I needed someone smarter than me to help me out.

Keith
Keith 5pts

Call me crazy, but I don't see the great harm in the contract. Rip is going to be as effective as he is now for at least the next 3 years. I look at it a lot like the Ray Allen trade. Allen was a pure shooter and basically nothing else at the time. The Celtics pushed that trade through even before they had KG. If Allen (traditionally a poor defender) can step his D up at 34, there's no reason Rip can't be effective even longer.

Also, remember that the NBA doesn't function like the NFL. Our hands aren't tied quite the same by contracts. One, Durant and possibly Westbrook will have a cap as to how high their next contract can go (max contracts are based on years in league, not talent). Green likely won't be getting a max contract in the first place, but it means we won't be spending more than 12 million on any of those guys until well after Rip is off the books. Two, teams can go over the cap to resign their own players (Larry Bird rule) and rookies. At some point we are going to be looking for a contender, not just an exciting lottery team. At that point we are going to be over the cap whether we like it or not. We will not be picking up 8 guys for under 2 million, we will be developing rookies to fill roles and picking up savvy veterans chasing championships for the league minimum.

I'm not sure I see Rip being traded (the Pistons have to build on something for the next couple years), but I don't see why he wouldn't be worth Ray Allen-value (our pick if outside the top 2).

J.G.
J.G. 5pts

Oh, man. Why did you bring that up...I had put college football out of my mind for...well at least the last 10 minutes, finally!

And now it's back.

Royce
Royce 5pts

J.G. :

I don’t think it’s stupid at all. What else are we going to do until May 19th?

I know. At least we're talking about it! Sure beats thinking about college football that's still five months away.

J.G.
J.G. 5pts

@Royce
That would have been perfect.

J.G.
J.G. 5pts

Royce, I think Green will definitely want more than $8-10 mil a year if he continues to improve. And I am right there with you on "unknown" versus proven.

I think you're right about the 8 roster spots but I think it will be more like $10-15M for the salary cap because I don't think the financial strain that the entire NBA is feeling right now will not be completely gone by 2013 (especially if there's a lockout in 2011 that some people believe will happen).

So you're going to try and get 8 quality role players who can contribute significantly for less than $2 million dollars a piece? :)

I'm all for making a plunge, but I can't just say forget 2013 for 2009 when, unless there's something amazing that happens (like getting the #1 pick and finding an amazing FA or two), the Thunder will still not be a playoff team and will need more help to make the playoffs by 2010.

I don't think it's stupid at all. What else are we going to do until May 19th?

Royce
Royce 5pts

Clark Matthews :
One more thing, the Celtics gave up Jeff Green for Ray Allen, but still had Jefferson. It was for Kevin Garnett that they gave up Jefferson and without that deal, I doubt the Celtics even make the playoffs last year.
If the Thunder take on the bad contract of Rip, there needs to be a companion trade that brings in the guy who puts the team over the top. If not, Hamilton eats up the salary cap space for now and when Durant and Green get their extensions, we’re locked in mediocrity.

Very true. Rip isn't THE piece to the puzzle. He'd just be a nice one. Something else needs to happen whether it's as JG said someone on the team becomes that player (Jeff Green? D.J. White?) or we go get someone.

The whole point I was going for was to kick start some discussion about where OKC goes this offseason and what happens if the ping-pong balls don't fall right. You're absolutely right, a move like this could lock the Thunder in a tight spot and set up for some mediocre years. And that's why I said, high risk, high reward. That's not like Presti.

Trackbacks

  1. Piston Powered » Blog Archive » Trade ideas: Thinking big says:
    May 4, 2009 at 3:49 pm

    [...] Royce Young of Daily Thunder ponders what it would take to get Richard Hamilton. He comes up with expiring contracts and Oklahoma City’s first-round draft pick: But again, Hamilton’s not a free agent. You’ve got to give up something to get him. Detroit wants to clean house, but they don’t want dirt in return. They’re going to want something worth their while. So let me pose the scenario: [...]

  2. Thursday Bolts -5.21.09 | Daily Thunder.com - Where Thunder Happens says:
    May 21, 2009 at 8:38 am

    [...] Empty the Bench likes Hasheem Thabeet with OKC or possibly trading the pick: “Here’s a thought: how about calling Detroit Pistons GM Joe Dumars, who’s open to trading just about anybody on his roster not named Rodney Stuckey, and talking about Richard Hamilton? Hamilton is exactly the kind of All-Star caliber talent with a proven track record of winning that could have a positive influence on the young Thunder team, not to mention help them win some games. At 31 years old, the well-conditioned Hamilton still has a good 4 years left in him; if Ray Allen can still do it at 34, Hamilton can at 35. A package of Hamilton, Jason Maxiell, and the Pistons’ first second-round pick (35th overall) for a player (Robert Swift?) and the third-overall pick–a pick which the Pistons would use on Rubio, shifting Stuckey over to Hamilton’s vacated spot at SG–might make sense for both teams. Of course, that’s just one possible trade scenario. But when it comes down to the words that come out of David Stern’s smug little mouth on June 25, here’s what Oklahoma City Thunder fans should be hoping for: “With the third pick in the 2009 NBA Draft, the Oklahoma City Thunder select Hasheem Thabeet from the University of Connecticut.” Hmm, that trade scenario sounds strangely familiar… [...]

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