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So you’re saying there’s a chance?

by Royce Young on June 17, 2009 at 1:58 pm 15 Comments

Vegas has released its odds for next season’s NBA Championship and Oklahoma City’s chances aren’t more like one in a million, they’re more like one in a hundred. Oh yeah!

picture-1

Now before you get too excited, the Thunder is one of eight teams with 100/1 odds (Bobcats, Warriors, Clippers, Bucks, Kings and Raptors). Only two teams had worse odds. The Timberwolves with 125/1 odds and the Grizzlies with 150/1. A lot of faith there in Chris Wallace’s drafting skills I see.

The best odds are on the Lakers at 9/4, the Cavs at 3/1, the Celtics at 9/2 and the Magic at 15/2.So in case you’re wondering, if you (wisely) put 10 bucks down on the Thunder that means you’ll get a thousand dollar return when they win the title. Yep, that’s what you call easy money.

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Crow
Crow 5pts

Philly might be one of the better plays actual chances vs odds but I wouldn't actually do it.

New Orleans and Chicago are probably better too but in the end losers.

I wouldn't bet outside the top 5-8.

Joe
Joe 5pts

@GAP

Thanks for the tip GAP. I've got the DVR set now.

p
p 5pts

There is a paragraph between the two thoughts to indicate transition.

^^ thats hilarious ...

GAP
GAP 5pts

Hey, NBATV is broadcasting the pre-draft combine in Chicago at 12:00 central. Just saying...

Crow
Crow 5pts

Some teams real odds are surely 500, 1000, 10,000 or more to 1.

When Hollinger does his projections I think it will show that.

Crow
Crow 5pts

I lost a longer post discussing this but I'll return to say these are payout odds, not "real" odds. If they were real odds the total chances to win would be about 150% and that can't be. A good number of these teams have less chance to win and more so at the bottom end. Some team's real odds are surely 500, 100, 10,000 or more to 1. Cavs, Celtics and Lakers I think add to 73% by this. Probably one or two are overstated and the other may be reasonable but which is which? Apparently Vegas think they can pay the winners and at least on average make money. They are usually right. There are good plays here, if you were of the mind to bet and research further before you bet. But I think they limit the size of the action anyone can get. Or at least they can or try to if they think they have reason to.

Joe
Joe 5pts

@Vega
I wasn't suggesting that the Clips would want him. There is a paragraph between the two thoughts to indicate transition. I was just suggesting that the Clips would make moves and that the Thunder would want to move Watson.

Vega
Vega 5pts

The Clips won't want Watson. They have Mike Taylor, so they don't need a backup to Baron, and I think there are plenty of better scenarios for them than trading someone for Watson's expiring contract.

Joe
Joe 5pts

There will probably be 10 big trades of before training camps start on Oct.1st. I don't see the Clipps going into the season with Kaman, Randolph, Griffin and Camby and DeAndre Jordan. Especially with Camby on an expiring deal.

I also see Presti busily revisiting trade scenarios which have us jettisoning Watson and his now expiring contract.

Nix
Nix 5pts

@Jordan
Kevin Martin was hurt last year...but I was kind of wondering the same thing...especially with Memphis having a great pick...

WOAHHHH

I just saw the Clippers with 100/1...I would put them at 50/1...

If Baron Davis got back to form...Eric Gordon improved even more...Marcus Camby played a solid year and Griffin destroyed they'd be great.

of course...it is the Clippers....

Jordan
Jordan 5pts

How are the Wolves a worse play then the Kings? Kings have no future. Wolves started to play pretty well before Jefferson went down.

Vega
Vega 5pts

@Cpt. C-Note
T-Mac is a massive expiring contract. If they can get him, and maybe dump Jared Jeffries on Houston while they're at it, than it is a good trade.

Cpt. C-Note
Cpt. C-Note 5pts

I'll take the Knicks @ 75/1. I hear they want Tracy McGrady. Sweet eye for another overpaid, over-valued player...who's always hurt.

All kidding aside, The Trailblazers might be a great play! 18/1 sounds pretty good for the roster they have, AND they seem to draft/trade well.

Royce
Royce 5pts

@Nix
I'm not a gambling man, nor have I ever been, but you're right, that's not a bad play.

Nix
Nix 5pts

The Heat might not be a bad play there...They could try to pull Bosh from Toronto or make some other big trades...not saying they'll win it...just that 50/1 is a bit more steep then I would have expected...

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