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Finding position in a positionless world

by Royce Young on August 5, 2010 at 12:57 pm 140 Comments

Garrett W. Ellwood/NBAE/Getty Images

I’ve never really figured out where I stand on positionality in the NBA. I understand what makes a guy a point guard and what makes another a center. Some would determine that difference simply as one guy is 7’1 and the other is 6’1. Other might just determine it based on role and assignment. Whatever the case, I understand what positions are. I just don’t really get what they mean.

We’ve heard the debate already. Russell Westbrook isn’t a true point guard. Jeff Green isn’t an actual power forward. Robert Swift wasn’t a real basketball player. So if they aren’t those things, what are they?

Rob Mahoney at The Two Man Game is honestly one of the smartest basketball thinkers out there. And he dove into this topic some in regard to the Mavericks roster, so I will shamelessly rip off his idea and apply it to the Thunder. Some words of his I especially liked:

To those still clinging to what they know, I’d ask this: what’s a power forward? What characteristics link Dirk Nowitzki, Tim Duncan, Rashard Lewis, Lamar Odom, Reggie Evans, Tyrus Thomas, and J.J. Hickson? Not rebounding. Not scoring. Not skill set. Not height relative to their teammates. Not even the spaces they occupy on the floor. I’m at a total loss as to the criterion that would group that bunch together, which makes the assessment “Player X isn’t a real power forward” pretty much worthless. I think I know what it means, but without the ability to define the contemporary power forward, how could I really know for sure?

Who did you think of during that entire paragraph? If you said Nenad Krstic, you’d be wrong. But one player easily inserted into that list is Jeff Green. Nobody knows what he is and honestly, nobody knows what he should be either. Rob took the plot of his post from a column by Drew Cannon of Basketball Prospectus. In that, there’s this section:

But what do you really need from a lineup? On defense, you need to be able to guard your opponents. This means you have to be ready for speeds and heights of all kinds. You need to have a player capable of guarding each of the five traditional C-PF-SF-SG-PG positions. We’ll call the players capable of defending each position “D1” through “D5,” respectively, with speed/athleticism on the x-axis and height/strength on the y-axis:

And on offense what do you need to be successful? You need to be able to make shots (from the field or free throw line), avoid turnovers, and clean up the offensive glass–at the very least to the point where you aren’t handing over points by doing the opposite. This means that you need someone who can take care of the ball, someone who can put it in the basket, someone who can get the ball to that guy, and someone who can get the ball back when someone misses. We’ll call these four characters the Handler, the Scorer, the Creator, and the Rebounder.

Quick point. The Creator and the Handler have to be the same guy. Because you can’t have your Creator losing the ball all the time before he can feed your Scorers, and you can’t have your Handler with the ball all the time but unable to get it to the Scorers.

…It boils down to this: On defense, you have to be ready for whatever the offense throws at you. But on offense, you really just need to rebound and protect the ball enough to let your scorers go to work (or protect the ball just enough that your dominant rebounding can keep putting points on the board despite below-average scoring, etc.). Really, how you put points on the board is your business. The defense is just reacting.

That’s the rub for Green apologists. How Oklahoma City scores or wins doesn’t matter – it’s that it does. You can repeat it until you’re blue in the face, but Green played major minutes on the youngest squad in the league that also won 50 games and darn near beat the NBA champs. Now, one could also mention that according to advanced metrics, Green was one of the worst defenders in the league and also had OKC’s lowest plus/minus. That’s why this debate continues, and continues, and continues. Nobody really has a firm grip on the role of Uncle Jeff. And nobody REALLY knows his true value either.

I’m not crystal clear on how positional classifications really fit in. I’m not really sold on scrapping it altogether. Basketball is a funny game. It’s free-flowing with players switching on defensive assignments constantly. It’s not like in baseball where if a guy is playing shortstop, that’s what he’s playing. Or in football where if he’s at quarterback, that’s the position he plays (though teams have begun to flex on that with the wildcat formation). Basketball is a game where you score and defend and though you may have “SF” next to your name, it really doesn’t matter as long as you’re doing to job and fulfilling the role you’re supposed to. Most basketball schemes and plans are based around the five position set, so positions make sense there. But say your shooting guard gets caught in a switch and is defending a power forward and forces a miss. He did his job right? So what’s it matter?

The point is, you want to always grab favorable matchups at wherever those positions may be. So you want players in situations where they can perform at their best. A center isn’t going to be able to defend a point guard for 85 possessions. So you find a place for him and find another player he can match up with. We’re going to see some great examples of all this with Team USA in Turkey. Players will be playing everywhere. We might see Derrick Rose at the 4 or something. And if it works, does it matter?

So just like Rob did, let’s place each Thunderer into a respective offensive and defensive category and see what we come up with. Obviously this is a rough draft and may be way off in your mind. So feel free to adjust.

Russell Westbrook – D1/D2, Creator/Handler/Scorer
Kevin Durant – D2/D3/D4, Scorer
Thabo Sefolosha – D2/D3, ?
Daequan Cook - D2, Scorer
Nick Collison - D4/D5, Rebounder
Jeff Green – D3/D4, Scorer/Rebounder
James Harden – D2/D3, Scorer/Creator
Serge Ibaka – D4/D5, Rebounder
Royal Ivey – D1/D2, Handler
Nenad Krstic – D5, Rebounder
Morris Peterson – D2/D3, Scorer
D.J. White – D4, Scorer/Rebounder
Eric Maynor – D1, Handler/Creator
Byron Mullens - D4/D5, Rebounder

Obviously some will disagree, but in regards to Green, I think it’s a discussion worth continuing. He’s really a poster boy for this debate and while yes, advanced statistics say one thing, often times the eye test says another. And it’s hard to forget his value in a number of big wins last season. Though at the same time, it’s hard to forget a game like Game 3 against the Lakers when he sat and the Thunder cranked it up defensively. That’s why he’s so hard to nail down.

Is Jeff Green a power forward? By traditional standards, absolutely not. But just like some teams play with two point guards or two centers (ie the Lakers), why can’t OKC play with two small forwards? Why must Green actually be considered a power forward? Again, I’m not saying that Jeff Green should start at the 4 and play there for 82 games the next 10 years. As I’ve said a million times, I don’t know where he really fits in yet. Though something worked last year, even against the evidence of advanced stats. Green helped this team win. How you can calculate that, I don’t know.

You know in the radio introductions before each game, every player says their name, their number and their position. One player doesn’t say a position. It’s Jeff Green. And that’s exactly it. While maybe he doesn’t have a position on this roster, he certainly has place on it.

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mr. bill
mr. bill 5pts

testing

JJ
JJ 5pts

@Anonymous

Thats not true. some players aren't even in the league at 23. the peak for basketball players is widely accepted to be 27-28. not 24. let's face it. he's still very young, just like everyone else on this team. we just have a different perspective on age because 23 for us thunder fans is "old" compared to the rest of the starters. 23 on any other team is considered young.

there are almost no good young power forwards in the league who do what you're all looking for and have proven they can play solid NBA minutes. Only 5 have a higher PER than him and played more than 20 minutes per game last season (Love, Gallinari, Beasley, Randolph, and Thaddeus Young). That's not a lot of players. and none of them are as versatile as Green (being able to guard the 2, 3, and ,4). He's 23 and will improve.

Why do we have to change anything? we were the youngest team EVER to make the playoffs. AND we had the best record for an eighth seed EVER. what we have works. Presti has done a great job grabbing high-character, hard working guys. we're stacked for now and the future. we're going to continue to develop. and we're going to continue to win. why deviate from the playbook when its done so well for us?

refrences:
http://howtowatchsports.com/2010/04/nba-playoffs-in-numbers-eight-statistics-you-werent-expecting/
http://insider.espn.go.com/nba/hollinger/statistics/_/position/pf

Crow
Crow 5pts

make that middling on "3"

Suns do seem stocked with forwards. Not sure how they will divide the minutes.

Dan
Dan 5pts

I like the thoughts about trading for Dudley. He's a player you can't just look at individual stats with either. Throughout the regular season and postseason he was a huge +/- guy who, in making his prediction for the Spurs-Suns series, Wayne Winston cited as a wild card whose impact could upset Winston's prediction of a Spurs victory. And when you throw in the perceived market value of Dudley vs. Green and the (probably) greater willingness of Dudley to accept a supporting role vs. Green, acquiring Dudley somehow would seem to fit in better for the long-term than shoehorning Green into a position he has yet to show he can play.

Crow
Crow 5pts

Green's stats in 3rd year compared to his other two seasons:

(1 being best, 2 middle, 3 worst)

eFG% 1
3pt FG% 2
FTA per minute 3
TS% 2
OR% 3
DR% 2
Ast% 3
Steal% 1
Block% 1
TO% 1

So best yet on 4, middling on 2, worst on 3. Roll it all uo and his PER was 2nd best, slipping from its "high" of 13.9 the previous season to 13.8 this season. Playoff PER- 8.6. Maybe he hasn't peaked yet but he plateaued when he is for 2 seasons. College stats overall were pretty close to the same throughout his career.

JJ
JJ 5pts

Lets not forget that he's is only 23 years old... its not like he's 30 and we know he isn't going to get any better. He still has 4 years before he hits his prime. there are only 2 starting (30+ mins) power forwards in the league younger than him with a better PER (Love and Galanari). lets not write him off before its too soon. we know he's a hard worker. we know he's dedicated. i think its a little too soon to be writing this guy off as a bust

Greg
Greg 5pts

@gabe
And there's nothing inflated about shooting 41% from the 3-pt line.

Greg
Greg 5pts

@gabe
I think Green is a better play than Dudley also. But Green would likely command more money on a team where he can play his natural position. I'm speaking about acquiring Dudley under the assumption that Green's been traded/signed for another team, AND we signed/traded for a Marc Gasol, Al Horford. Dudley would be a bench player, not the starting PF in any circumstance.

gabe
gabe 5pts

I'd rather have Green than Dudley, Dudley's numbers also inflated in Suns system.

Crow
Crow 5pts

@gabe

I think Durant has become a good defender and seemed to have handled being a 2 way strong player in huge minutes pretty well this year. If he gets tired put him on an easier cover but it may not be that necessary that often.

Greg
Greg 5pts

gabe :Dudley is a good 3 pt shooter but how does that help replacing Green at the 4? He isn’t a post player he is more a 2/3 guard.

Dudley wouldn't replace Green as the starting 4. What Dudley could do, is provide a role that some would like to see Green take. Which is coming off the bench, backing up Durant at the 3, and provide 10-15 minutes per game at the PF position. It's clear that Dudley already succeeds in this role, is considerably better shooter than Green, and also defends well on the perimeter.

Crow
Crow 5pts

The mock draft consensus was he was about 8-10 best and if you re-ran that draft today I doubt he would go above 10. But let's see if the team advances this season with him still in his as yet unchallenged position.

gabe
gabe 5pts

Durant will never play PF he's a wing and outside player. He also doesn't guard much, you don't want the NBA leading scorer guarding a scoring PF you want to save him on offense, see Kobe or James. Kobe can guard anyone but he never does he saves himself for offense. Dudley is a good 3 pt shooter but how does that help replacing Green at the 4? He isn't a post player he is more a 2/3 guard.

Greg
Greg 5pts

Crow :When you can say that about a 5th pick and note his Adjusted +/- and acknowledge the debate about position that won’t go away as long as he defends the PF I can’t say it was a good pick.

Obviously in hindsight, Noah is the better pick. But Green's versatility and knack for defense, character, and team attitude, all had 'Presti pick' written all over it.

Crow
Crow 5pts

When you can say that about a 5th pick and note his Adjusted +/- and acknowledge the debate about position that won't go away as long as he defends the PF I can't say it was a good pick.

Crow
Crow 5pts

White the best shooter, scorer, overall rebounder, ball protector and blocker in the admittedly small sample of time given to him.

Green 3rd or 4th in basically everything.

Crow
Crow 5pts

A comparison for the heck of it

Green, Dudley, White and Tolliver

http://www.basketball-reference.com/play-index/tiny.cgi?id=7HTZn

Crow
Crow 5pts

Dudley is entering his 4th year just like Green and will be a restricted free agent next summer. I was pretty favorable to him in the draft at the time. Doesn't seem like Charlotte was crazy for him. Might have been able to make a draft trade for him or beaten Phoenix to him later. Or outbid them next summer.

Greg
Greg 5pts

@Crow
How much longer is Dudley under contract in Phoenix? If Green were to be out of the picture, Dudley would be an ideal backup to Durant who also could play 10-12 mpg at PF too. Sort of what we'd like out of Green, but Dudley could be a cheaper option at this point. Dudley is a solid defender also right?

And how do you have that high of a TS% with a PER of just 14?

Crow
Crow 5pts

He played 25 minutes a game in Phoenix before but probably won't this season. Might be best as a 15-20 minute guy.

Crow
Crow 5pts

Dudley regular season- 61% TS% and PER near 14, playoffs- 62% and PER near 16.

Rebounding was is the same somewhat light range as Green though.

Really he is a big SF. Mostly a jump shooter but a very good one.

Crow
Crow 5pts

Everything is connected. Change one thing, you probably change others. There are a lot of alternate rosters that could have been fashioned. Whether any would already be better or would be better in the future we will never "know", can only think / debate if we feel like it.

Crow
Crow 5pts

@Greg

Good points.

In 2-3 years either Westbrook is a better long-term piece than Love or Lopez or he isn't.

Crow
Crow 5pts

make that "mostly" easy or easier names

If Durant moves into playing 1/3 to 1/2 at PF and Ibaka get most or all of the rest or White plays a sliver or you go big (including eventually with Pleiss) you may not need a PF replacement.

Greg
Greg 5pts

Crow :Dudley could be a good value.

The only player to draw more chargers than Nick Collison in the NBA, and he hits 3's. Sounds like a player the Thunder could use.

Greg
Greg 5pts

@Crow
Those were realistic names, but unfortunately a lot of them aren't considerable upgrades from Green (IMO at least). If Green is traded/not retained then it's either because Ibaka has an incredible season or Presti is going to go after a FA like Gasol, Horford, or even a David West.

I like the idea of Love here, but unfortunately I think we missed that boat. Now that Jefferson's gone, I don't see them trading Love also. Unless they prefer Beasley over Love at the 4, which seems a bit outrageous at this point.

Crow
Crow 5pts

Dudley could be a good value.

Crow
Crow 5pts

These names are the easy realistic names. I didn't throw out bigger names because they'd be very hard to get at a good deal. They wouldn't necessarily replace more than a part of Green's minutes except for Love and maybe Gibson or Johnson. Ibaka would get most of the minutes in nearly every case. You'd be promoting Ibaka and replacing him as a backup. It is not so much replacing green as selecting not to give him big money to stay long-term and moving him for something. It doesn't have to be a PF directly. A better backup PG or a backup SF who fits well or a future draft pick or a combo of things in a larger deal could work, if they went down this road.

Crow
Crow 5pts

It will be hard to get a good PF unless you do a 2 or 3 for 1 or 3 or 4 for 2. I'd throw a lot at Minny for Love. They probably don't bite but I guess you can't tell with Kahn.

Presti spent Ray Allen and then the 5th pick on Green and he may stick with and sorta be stuck with him until the contract is up.

But if he does trade him, what will the Green supporters say? Good trade or well I guess he didn't fit after all?

Could have had Sheldon Williams for the minimum. Amundson still available for under $3 million a year, probably less. You could at least talk to Detroit about Jerebko. Could have drafted Taj Gibson but if Chicago is really willing to let him go, give them Cook or Petersen and whatever else is necessary. Dorel Wright was pretty cheap. Bass might not be bad. Amir Johnson was a better value before but still might be a better value than Green in the long run if Green can get the money he and his agent will want. Mahinmi was cheap. You could give DJ White 15 minutes a game for 10 straight games again and see what happens.

Greg
Greg 5pts

gabe :Would be interested to hear who you guys want that is sooo much better than green.

Ibaka appears to be a better PF than Green. Which is why some have suggested for trading/signing someone like Marc Gasol or Al Horford.

Crow
Crow 5pts

I'm sorry, I missed one. There was also a Durant-Green-Ibaka lineup with 77 minutes that was moderately weak.

Crow
Crow 5pts

@James

Ibaka's strongest Durant-Green-Ibaka lineups were all 25 minutes or less for the season.

The only lineup with Ibaka at center for more than 27 minutes was Westbrook- Sefolosha- Durant- Green, Jeff - Ibaka and it played for 105 minutes and was terrible -13 on raw +/- and -14 on Adjusted +/-.

Ibaka at center is still largely a mystery.

gabe
gabe 5pts

Everyone wants to trade green for a more improved four but I don't really think there are that many guys out there that don't have their own weaknesses. If you were to trade Green for another 4 who would it be? Also remember we don't want to trade our other young guys (Harden, Maynor, Ibaka). And no one is taking a trade of Green, Kristic and Collison. Would be interested to hear who you guys want that is sooo much better than green.

Greg
Greg 5pts

James :@GregIbaka is definitely strong and athletic enough and I can see him developing into a solid defensive center.

I can too, but I'm not certain that it's this season. Ibaka was at his best when he didn't have positional responsibilities - he could just roam around blockin shots because Collison was always there to rotate over and cover for him. If Ibaka did this same thing, Jeff Green would get abused at the rim. That's why Ibaka/Aldrich will be our starting froncourt in the 2011-12 season at the latest, IMO.

James
James 5pts

@Greg
Ibaka is definitely strong and athletic enough and I can see him developing into a solid defensive center.

Greg
Greg 5pts

@shiki=4 seasons
Bosh also has a frame that is much more condusive to playing the 4. Bosh can even play some center, whereas Durant simply cannot. I imagine Bosh has closer to 30 lbs on KD at this point. But KD could get there in the future.

shiki=4 seasons
shiki=4 seasons 5pts

Kevin Durant 07'
6-9 height w/o shoes
215 weight
7-4¾ Wingspan
9-2 Standing Reach

Bosh 03'
6-10¾ height w/o shoes
225 weight
7-4½ Wingspan
9-1 Standing Reach

the two players have similar size but they are not in same position.

Greg
Greg 5pts

@James
I like the sound of it, especially if we ran a super-uptempo offense. It could be problematic on defense though, particularly on the interior.

James
James 5pts

Why doesn't anyone talk about Ibaka playing the 5?

look at the 5 man units here.
http://www.82games.com/0910/09OKC13.HTM

Our best squads in win % have our 3, 4, and 5 as Durant, Green, and Ibaka

I think that next year, with the development of out players, especially rookies, our starting 5 will be Westbrook, Harden, Durant, Green, Ibaka.

Keith
Keith 5pts

@Daniel
Post game is a complement to what KD is. You don't stick a guy with his shooting ability in the post every possession like a traditional PF. No matter what position he is listed at down the road, he will always be perimeter oriented. Swapping his and Jeff's positions holds no offensive value, as both tend to start and play from the same places anyway. Defense is the only thing that they can choose to switch (as on offense they can force specific matchups to guard them), and in the end KD is too valuable to force into uneven matchups.

Daniel
Daniel 5pts

KD said he's been working on his post game this summer. If he can post up people, he could play PF on offense.

I'd really like to see KD and JG swap positions for a little while and see how it works out. Maybe dabble with it in the preseason.

Keith
Keith 5pts

@shiki=4 seasons
That's a good point, but only one of those players is a long-term threat (Aldridge). Further, if it comes down only to defense (which seems to be the case), Ibaka likely is the better defender than Green or KD.

@justin
I would agree that he has the ability to play PF, but that it will be a Dirk PF. That's not bad, Dirk is a tremendous player, but it changes the entire makeup of our current team. We would certainly need more ball-handlers (hopefully Harden helps this), and we would need a rebounding/defensive stalwart at the 5 (Aldrich hopefully could become this). If Harden or Aldrich (moreso than Harden) don't pan out to a significant degree, KD at the 4 becomes less viable. As mentioned, offensively, KD-Green at either position is moot, they play the same places on the floor regardless. Defensively is where it is at. And ultimately, KD isn't going to be wasted guarding a high end player unless absolutely necessary. In that case, it seriously limits his defensive impact.

If Green is the only one big enough to guard opposing PFs (as well as he does), and KD is being saved for offense (as most stars are), then Green will still be guarding him. I'd much rather put Ibaka on the floor with Durant as a base. If the best player is a SF, Durant and Thabo switch. If the best player is a PF, Ibaka can handle it. If multiple high end players are on the floor, Durant would only move to PF if it is the lowest threat. If that is the case, I'm more than happy putting Green on an opposing SF and Durant on a low-end PF. If the lowest threat is SF, Ibaka is still probably the better option at PF simply because even lesser PFs have been able to take advantage of Green.

justin
justin 5pts

@Keith

I agree with this assessment. I do think that Durant has a decent chance of evolving into a PF down the line, though.

shiki=4 seasons
shiki=4 seasons 5pts

Kd can guard KG/Aldridge/Dirk who are jump shooters.His wingspan can make them shoot difficult.

Keith
Keith 5pts

The question is whether building around Durant as a evolved Nowitzki maximizes the team's potential. Durant honestly isn't a good enough rebounder to be Bosh (with better scoring), but could be an upgraded version of Dirk. On one hand, it allows Durant to focus less on ball-handling and creating for others (though he would obviously still do some of that), which hides weaknesses. On the other hand, it means we would need tremendous rebounding from the 5 spot as well as an assurance that Green will be considerably better at the 3.

I think KD would have some trouble in the short term defending 4s, but would figure it out down the line (if Bosh can effectively guard Dwight, KD will be able to guard most 4s). However, it does mean a step back for KD in the short term. And I think, in all, it is never a good idea to limit the effectiveness of your best player to improve a role player. The greatest problem, and perhaps a complete dealbreaker, is that the switch of Green and KD would only occur on defense, as offensively they both play like SFs anyway, and that isn't going to change by calling KD a PF. And really, since KD is often switched off more potent scorers in order to conserve energy, the defensive switch would only occur on certain matchups.

Essentially, there is just no viability to a Green-KD 3-4 switch because KD does not immediately improve Green's shortcomings at PF, the offense would not change, and defense would continue to suffer if KD is switched onto a SG or SF low-threat player.

Long term, Durant's position (which supercedes all other players) will come down to development. If he bulks up a bit and focuses on being a scorer who can rebound, PF is perfect. He wouldn't need to take on any significant ball-handling or passing duties (no more than Dirk), and he has a greater likelihood of becoming a quality defender against opposing bigs. However, if he does truly improve on his ball-handling (more specifically one-on-one skills) as well as his passing, it would only hinder the team to take him off the perimeter where he could create for teammates. As a strong one-on-one scorer who is willing and able to pass, he gets more opportunity to improve the players around him by getting the ball on the wings and "making something happen."

Daniel
Daniel 5pts

I've been thinking about this lately as well. Why not switch Green to the 3 and Durant to the 4?

Durant is getting stronger and he's a better rebounder. He's actually taller than Green and has a longer wingspan. It'll be interesting to see what happens at Worlds this year when KD plays a lot of PF.

Green would be a lot better at his natural SF position, though I don't know if he's quick enough to guard other SFs.

Greg
Greg 5pts

@f5alcon
Well you can't teach hands, but there are certainly drills and experience should help some. But I'm not certain they'll improve considerably, that's why I feel better about his footwork and even boxing out too. Not to mention he's showing he can add to his frame as well.

f5alcon
f5alcon 5pts

@Greg
Can you teach hands though? im not so sure that it is something that can really be improved.

Greg
Greg 5pts

Ibaka's footwork and boxing out could use improvement and I think that will come. The big thing with Ibaka is his hands. If those ever improve, then watch. We'll have an absolute monster in our hands, and in that case I think and Harden can complement Westbrook and Durant very well. A duo combining to be the 3rd scoring option, so to speak.

f5alcon
f5alcon 5pts

hopefully ibaka picks up some new skills while there, maybe then can fix his footwork a bit, or boxing out.

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