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Don’t worry about Cole Aldrich

by Michael Kimball on November 23, 2010 at 4:16 pm 205 Comments

Cole Aldrich has been a healthy inactive the last few games. He’s been in a suit while Byron Mullens and D.J. White have gotten the nods as the last big men on the bench.

To which I say … so what?

People here and elsewhere have raised an eyebrow at minimum that Aldrich has been such a non-factor so far. Some have expressed alarm. And they have ammunition. Aldrich has less-than-modest stats through the Thunder’s first 14 games. He’s appeared in only five, averaging one point, two boards and two fouls in 10 minutes. He hasn’t seen the floor in six games and hasn’t dressed for almost that many. Of the players taken before Aldrich (No. 11) in the draft this summer, only injured Golden State forward Ekpe Udoh has played in fewer games (zero).

But the reality is that Aldrich’s status now has no bearing on his future value to the team. Scott Brooks said so himself by characterizing it as simply suiting up one young player instead of another, although you wouldn’t expect him to say anything else even if it wasn’t true. That said, I believe him. First and foremost, you can’t judge (almost) any lottery pick after only 14 games in his first season. And the deeper you dig, the more you find to make you realize there’s no reason to worry about Aldrich.

Everybody knew Oklahoma City’s biggest need in the draft was size. It was also obvious that to get anything resembling blue chip talent, the Thunder would have to trade up, but probably couldn’t trade up enough for a home run without giving up a big piece. No DeMarcus Cousins or Derrick Favors, but maybe Aldrich, Udoh or Greg Monroe. OKC eventually traded Craig Brackins and Quincy Pondexter to the Hornets for Aldrich and Morris Peterson.

But scan that list and tell me who, other than Favors, would be a no-brainer to trade for Aldrich. Favors and Cousins were pipe dreams to begin with, but Cousins’ run-ins with his coaches worry anyone who cares about the Thunder’s chemistry. Udoh is still a complete NBA unknown. Monroe has played in 11 games but is averaging only four points on 36 percent shooting (28 percent from the line!) for a bad team. Brackins, later traded to the 76ers, hasn’t played for a bad team. Pondexter doesn’t have a place in Oklahoma City to begin with, but he’s putting up three points on 42 percent shooting in six games for the Hornets. There aren’t many other compelling names in the draft class at the four or five, either.

And where should Aldrich’s minutes be coming from anyway? Brooks is famous, or infamous as the case may be, ’round these parts for his adherence to the nine-man rotation. With everyone healthy, who comes out of the rotation to let Aldrich play? You’d have to pick one of the four out of Nenad Krstic, Jeff Green, Serge Ibaka and Nick Collison, and I don’t think anyone in their right mind would want to do that. Getting him an Ibaka-like three minutes of burn, as Air Congo did in stretches early last season, doesn’t seem like the kind of thing that would benefit Aldrich or the Thunder very much when OKC is playing in a bunch of tight games.

I’m one of many people who thought he was drafted to try to replace Collison’s contributions when Collison would presumably command more on the open market this summer than Oklahoma City can afford to pay, but that viewpoint was rendered incorrect today when the team announced a multi-year extension with Collison. But that doesn’t mean the front office freaked out after a 14 games of Aldrich’s career and decided to extend Nick. It probably means they intended to all along if the price was right, and Collison decided he’d rather risk missing out on bigger money elsewhere to stay on a fun team with a bright future and get a contract under the current CBA. Oklahoma City’s front office modus operandi hasn’t been panic contracts or trades, so I’ll bet when the terms of Collison’s extension are disclosed, his contract will resemble Thabo Sefolosha’s more closely than Drew Gooden’s in terms of value, at least I’d hope. OKC now has the luxury of choosing between Collison, Aldrich and an unknown option later than next year, which should be good news for everyone involved.

There’s also nothing wrong with choosing to see Mullens earning the right, in the eyes of his coaches, to suit up for a few games as a good thing. Mullens was a first-rounder a just a year before Aldrich and, while he wasn’t expected to contribute as quickly as many thought Aldrich could, he is a guy with undisputed potential and of whom the coaches spoke well during summer and preseason workouts. If Mullens has worked hard enough to get the bench seat Etan Thomas kept warm last year, then by all means, let the kid save some money on his dry cleaning bill and be the one who gets to shoot hoops during warm-ups. If he continues to improve and is knocking on the door as the season goes on, maybe Mullens can replace Krstic when his contract is up this summer. Or maybe Krstic’s replacement is Aldrich. If only one pans out, that could be enough for the Thunder. (There’s always Tibor Pleiss, but at this point he’s not worth more than a token mention.)

Mullens brings up another point: Don’t forget how quickly how things can change with a trade or sudden player improvement here or there. Mullens was traded for Mavericks point guard Rodrigue Beaubois, and for awhile it seemed like one of the biggest draft goofs of the year when Beaubois started to tear it up for Dallas. But now Beaubois is hurt, Oklahoma City hijacked Eric Maynor from the Jazz, and all of the sudden people don’t think about the Beaubois thing as much and the Thunder still has Mullens. It’s not that OKC couldn’t use Beaubois now or then, it’s that you don’t have to cast as many longing glances his way when you’ve already got a better-than-steady young backup point guard in Maynor who meshes well with his teammates.

I’m open to the argument that Brooks could do more to tweak his rotation to provide more opportunities to develop players. There are other coaches who successfully employ 10- or 11-man rotations. The Thunder has a few big men you’d think the staff and front office would like to either see more of and develop or showcase for trades in Aldrich, Mullens and White. Maybe the Minnesota game on Monday, during which Darko Milicic embarrassed the Thunder’s front line, would have been a good time to be able to pull one more stout post defender off the bench to see if there’s somebody in uniform to stop a guy on a roll.

But would that do OKC, or Aldrich, any good? Is shooting a low percentage and sending opposing big men to the line for 10 minutes a game something that’s going to help anybody? No one would be clamoring for more Aldrich if he played more consistently but his stat lines looked like Monroe’s. It’s hard for rookies to get playing time on good teams.

The best news for the Thunder from what outsiders can observe is that Aldrich is active and involved in his suit on the sideline during games. He’s not pouting or aloof, he’s standing with his teammates during time outs, talking to them, joking with them, putting his arm around their shoulders and doing all the other Thunder-like things the players do. If he’s got a similar attitude the rest of the time, then he’s probably in good shape.

Aldrich’s time will come. He’ll be pressed into duty with injuries, players will leave in free agency or in trades or he’ll earn his way into the lineup. But one way or the other, his time on the court will come. Until then, it’s too early to worry about whether he’s wearing his warm-ups or a suit.

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bryan
bryan 5pts

Man, Blake's defense has not been great, but I'd kill to have an aggressive PNR guy like him.

bryan
bryan 5pts

I've watched Amar'e Stoudemire's reaction to the Blake Griffin dunk like 12 times lol

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CBgA2kVlF_A&feature=related

Mark!
Mark! 5pts

@DizzyDai

I agree. Mullens has proven he's more qualified to guard the Gatorade than Cole.

DizzyDai
DizzyDai 5pts

^^^ They appeared as soon as I posted that. :)

bryan
bryan 5pts

@DizzyDai
I'm not down on Aldrich. I'm just offering some speculation as to what MIGHT be going on based on observations of him interacting with players at the game and shooting half-court shots during warmups and clowning around.

He just seems immature. And on a young team with fun team mates, it would be easy to sort of settle into a routine of clowning around and not taking things seriously, especially if the coach is less demanding than what he is used to.

DizzyDai
DizzyDai 5pts

Perhaps the Daily Bolts are on Thanksgiving Break?

bryan
bryan 5pts

Dan2 :
I know, thats partly what I’m saying, Cole isn’t a fast developer, and even if he was, there wouldn’t be any playing time for him. We are actually a pretty deep team, we just have too many mediocre players, with only a couple super players.

We have a plethora of mid-level talent. They just can't seem to get over the hump at center...

DizzyDai
DizzyDai 5pts

Why does this have to be a negative on Aldrich? Perhaps Mullens deserves the nod.

qrex
qrex 5pts

Maybe there hasn't been any news. :)

HungryMan
HungryMan 5pts

Bolts! Bolts! Bolts!

bryan
bryan 5pts

I guess it was probably already discussed, but the Nick Collison contract is brilliant!!! Nice use of cap space to retain a player that you otherwise could not afford to keep.

And if a trade becomes necessary, who wouldn't take Collison at $2.2 $3.3 million?????

Dan2
Dan2 5pts

I know, thats partly what I'm saying, Cole isn't a fast developer, and even if he was, there wouldn't be any playing time for him. We are actually a pretty deep team, we just have too many mediocre players, with only a couple super players.

bryan
bryan 5pts

Aldrich said in an interview the other day that Brooks is a lot more laid back than Bill Self, who Aldrich said really gets after his players.

Watching Aldrich clown around all the time makes me think that maybe he needs a more structured environment. It takes a special kind of kid to work as hard as KD, Russ, Ibaka, Green and the other guys without some structure. Maybe Aldrich just isn't that guy. Or maybe we are all just making a mountain out of a mole hill.

DXL
DXL 5pts

@Dan2
Can't compare anyone to Ibaka, that guy's a freak of nature. His development from playing limited minutes in a lower-tier Spanish league in 2009 to now playing big minutes, and at times being dominant, in the NBA is unbelievable.

j-mo
j-mo 5pts

Going through Daily Bolts withdrawal . . .

Dan2
Dan2 5pts

Hopefully its not his work ethic, hopefully its because he wasn't asked to do much in Kansas besides rebound and block shots, he needs to be a more complete player to steal time away from green/Kristic/Ibaka/Collison. While that group isn't going to blow anyone away, its still a solid group of players, they would be in the rotation of almost every team in the nba. With the signing of collison, one of them is not in the future plans of the team, unless green comes off the bench and plays mostly SF with some PF mixed in. Also, because Aldrich doesn't bring offense, compared to ibaka and green, you don't want to play him with Kristic or Collison. So he doesn't really fit in with the current team. Bold Prediction: baring a trade of green or Kristic, Aldrich is not going to play meaningful minutes this year.

justin
justin 5pts

It must be his work ethic. I thought Aldrich looked pretty solid whenever he was on the court. Fouled a lot, but rookies tend to do that.

Hopefully he learns something in Tulsa.

Dan2
Dan2 5pts

My bad, he only played 3 years, but he is 22, while Ibaka with much less basketball experience pre-NBA was only 20 last year.

qrex
qrex 5pts

a senior?

Dan2
Dan2 5pts

While Ibaka has been used as an example of receiving low minutes early in the season, Ibaka averaged 15 min/game in November and just increased from there. November 18th was when Ibaka started playing 20 minutes or more 2 out of 3 games. Cole will be lucky to see that by February. However I think most of it is dictated by only having a 9-man rotation and Mullens deserving minutes ahead of him. But being a senior coming out of college, he should have been more polished, too bad he didn't go to UCLA.

DizzyDai
DizzyDai 5pts

I think they just want us to watch 66er games.

qrex
qrex 5pts

@Charles
ha, ha. Nah, the big man just needs playing time he won't get on the Thunder. Mullens was a better player after his time in Tulsa.

Charles
Charles 5pts

the "release_aldrich" part of that url just about gave me a heart attack.

Thomas
Thomas 5pts

I don't mean to say that Marc Gasol isn't a talented player or that he wouldn't be a nice piece on the Thunder. I think he is and I think he would be. But I just think there is a very high likelihood that you'll end up overpaying for him. There is so much desperation around the league for true 7 footers who aren't absolute stiffs, and with what his brother has done since moving to L.A., I think there will be lots of potential suitors for him and the end result will be you'll end up having to overpay for what you get. I may be wrong. Maybe he will blossom into a 20 and 10 guy on another team. I just haven't indications of that yet. He's much closer to a solid role player than an all star.

Bouzi
Bouzi 5pts

@L.A.Sports
Thank you... I think this clearly shows the method of how we will develop all of our young rookies.

L.A.Sports
L.A.Sports 5pts

@Bouzi
http://www.nba.com/thunder/news/release_aldrich101124.html

Bouzi
Bouzi 5pts

@L.A.Sports
wow link?

L.A.Sports
L.A.Sports 5pts

yeah it is, I dont mind it at all.

qrex
qrex 5pts

@L.A.Sports
That's better than wearing a suit.

L.A.Sports
L.A.Sports 5pts

So Cole is now signed to the Tulsa 66ers

Bouzi
Bouzi 5pts

to think that we cannot go over the cap to resign our players is crazy.

From my understanding there is first the salary cap. then the threshold before OKC goes into the luxary tax. Meaning we are able to resign our players at great rates. I believe also that when we start getting over the cap we will have the flexablilty of the MLE to sign and trade players for. OKC is still in really good shape with even if they sign green to an 8+ mil/yr contract.

justin
justin 5pts

@qrex

Yeah, cap holds are around because otherwise teams could use a loophole to sign free agents and their own RFA's. The Warriors did this with Gilbert Arenas awhile ago, and it's why the rule was put into place.

qrex
qrex 5pts

@justin
Good points, especially the cap hold.

I was working under the assumption that unsigned offers were nothing more than negotiation points. I.e. it only counts if its signed.

justin
justin 5pts

@qrex

Just to clarify, Green has to sign an offer sheet with another team for the Thunder to be able to match it.

Also, Jeff Green will have a ~$14 million cap hold on our cap until his free agency is resolved by either re-signing with us, signing elsewhere, or his right are renounced.

DizzyDai
DizzyDai 5pts

@qrex

Sounds right to me. I think the date is July 1st.

qrex
qrex 5pts

This is my understanding of Jeff Green's contract situation,

1. Green cannot be offered nor accept an offer before the end of the season (or another date?).
2. At that date, Green will be free to negotiate with any team including the Thunder.
3. If the Thunder make an offer that is accepted, Green stays on the Thunder.
4. If another team makes an offer, the Thunder have the option of matching the offer, and Green stays on the Thunder. Or, if they choose not to match, Uncle Jeff leaves for greener pastures.

Is that a correct summation?

AC
AC 5pts

@qrex
yes the deadline passed. Even if we wanted to sign him tomorrow we would have to wait until the offseason.

qrex
qrex 5pts

@KingGondo
But, we can't until after the season, correct?

KingGondo
KingGondo 5pts

@Cheryl
We will, but only for the right price. He has to show that he's more than an athletic, decent-shooting, undersized PF.

Cheryl
Cheryl 5pts

Loved the article. Just wish we would sign Jeff.

justin
justin 5pts

Marc Gasol is a very good offensive player. Decent isolation moves, good passer, moves well. If I'm giving 5/80 I want a two way player, though. I don't think Gasol is a terror on the boards, although he boxes out well. And I don't think he's a great defender. Fundamental and solid, maybe, but not great. Someone like Noah is a better defensive player than Gasol.

Maybe you do overpay him since it's so hard to win anything without a legitimate post threat and if nothing else, Marc Gasol is a legitimate post threat offensively.

Bruno
Bruno 5pts

Thomas :@Daniel
Hawaii
Someone’s going to overpay for Marc just based on his size and who his brother is. If you actually sit down and watch him you know, he is definitely not his brother. He isn’t even close to that.

I don't agree, I think Marc Gasol is a great player.

you have to consider that he plays on a team with 3 offensive black holes (Gay, Mayo and Randolph) that demand the ball all the time, and he's doing what he's doing in very limited touches. (he's averaging 12.2 with 60% shooting, 2nd in the NBA behind Horford, and he shoot 71% from the line, nice number for a center)

also, Randolph is a terrible defender, so he has to protect the paint all by himself.

I think he could become a star, or a very good player on a different team.

DizzyDai
DizzyDai 5pts

justin :@dream catcher
So, again, you’re imagining all these players are going to re-sign with OKC for less than they will get elsewhere?

$$$ goes much further in OKC. Do you think they signing in New Jersey or LA for a million more would be worth it?

AC
AC 5pts

@DXL
He's pretty foul prone in Euroleague games, and his scoring numbers and efficiency go way down in those games. Euroleague performance is much more indicative of how he would do in the NBA. Especially the games against Olympicos or Madrid, though he did have his best game against Unicaja, who isn't too bad.

http://www.euroleague.net/competition/players/showplayer?pcode=LHK

DizzyDai
DizzyDai 5pts

@Jaymie

Just what I expected. Presti is King!!!

DizzyDai
DizzyDai 5pts

j-mo :Maybe this has been said and I just skipped over it. Sending Aldrich to Tulsa would prevent him from being a great practice player for the team. If he fouls out in 10 minutes in a game, how rough is he in practice? That’s goof for Nenad/Collison/Mullens/Ibaka/Green to go up against someone that is big and plays hard and isn’t afraid to foul. It should help us learn to absorb contact and finish at the rim. I think the Thunder are doing better in this area (would like someone to back this up with stats if available.)

Good point. Plus the D-League just started recently. The 66ers will likely get Aldrich or Mullens soon.

DXL
DXL 5pts

@Thomas
This is the German league championship from last season. He played really well this game, controlled the boards, made shots, was probably the most important X-factor in his team winning a league championship. And the point is he's much improved THIS season.

Pleiss will be ready to at least play back-up center next season if he comes over. He plays smart, efficient basketball, very unusual for a true seven-footer. His per-minute rebounding and shotblocking stats are spectacular, he's finishing well around the rim and his jump shot is a weapon. What's not to like? He's not a gazelle like Mullens, he can't jump like Ibaka, but he's so big he'll be effective even as an average athlete.

Jaymie
Jaymie 5pts

Thoughts?

http://blog.newsok.com/thunderrumblings/2010/11/23/report-collison-deal-worth-roughly-11m/

DizzyDai
DizzyDai 5pts

@HL-Oger

Thanks for the update. It's unlikely that Tibor's production will stay the same in the NBA, but I hope he can keep up the blocks when he arrives.

Thomas
Thomas 5pts

@Daniel Hawaii
Someone's going to overpay for Marc just based on his size and who his brother is. If you actually sit down and watch him you know, he is definitely not his brother. He isn't even close to that.

Trackbacks

  1. 11/24 Daily Links « OKC ThunderDome says:
    November 24, 2010 at 9:19 am

    [...] Daily Thunder checks in on Cole Aldrich. [...]

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