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Understanding why Jeff Green lacks on the boards

by Royce Young on February 14, 2011 at 1:17 pm 162 Comments

Chris Graythen/NBAE/Getty Images

Brace yourself, I’m going to talk about Jeff Green.

The Thunder has struggled this season rebounding the ball and a lot of the blame has been pointed at Green, among others. As the starting power forward on a really good team, it’s hard to excuse the fact he’s averaging just 5.7 rebounds a game. It’s hard to excuse that he’s had multiple games of playing heavy minutes without pulling in a single rebound. As a recent example, it’s hard to excuse what happened Sunday night.

Rebounding is kind of a weird stat because you can really get lucky in a game and have five rebounds just land in your lap. There are players that go get rebounds (Kevin Love, Dwight Howard, Blake Griffin) and players that just rebound their area. Jeff Green is the latter. And really, other than Russell Westbrook, the entire Thunder team is too.

Consider this one: Jeff Green has 262 total rebounds. Russell Westbrook has 266. (Green has played seven less games, but still.) The bad part is, Green has just 55 offensive rebounds to Westbrook’s 85. That’s a point guard and a power forward. That’s crazy.

Among power forwards, Green ranks 25th in rebounds per game. He averages just 4.5 defensive rebounds per game (26th among power forwards), but a puny 1.2 offensive rebounds a night (37th). Green isn’t a strong rebounder by any means, but man, he really has no interest in hitting the offensive glass. Serge Ibaka, in fewer minutes per game, averages 4.5 defensive rebounds per game, but 2.5 offensive. Something is just different there.

In terms of advanced stats, it’s worse. In rebound rate, Green is at a career-low 8.9. For reference, Blake Griffin’s is 19.7.

One more: In six games in February, Green has pulled down a whopping two offensive rebounds. He’s has 19 games where he didn’t record a single one.

I think you get the point. Jeff Green’s not a great rebounder.

But I’ve been curious for a while why Green doesn’t put up better rebounding numbers. He’s tall, athletic, strong and can jump. It seems like he has all the qualities to put up good numbers on the glass. So I tracked his rebounding Sunday against the Warriors.

Out of his five rebounds Sunday, he didn’t go out of area to rebound once. He didn’t “win” any rebounds. Everything he got was mainly by luck. The ball bounced off the iron just right and landed in his hands.

Offensively, he only crashed twice. He was in the area a few times for an offensive board, but those were more by coincidence than anything else.

One play sticks out to me: With about five minutes left in the second quarter, Ekpe Udoh beat Green on a long offensive rebound. Green was in position with Udoh on his back. But Green just didn’t anticipate the ball well. It bounced long and Green was slow getting off the floor. That’s the one thing some players can’t help. Some have that gift of feeling a missed shot. I don’t think Uncle Jeff does.

Some guys aren't gifted rebounders. Not everyone is Kevin Love. Just like Ben Wallace doesn't have the gift of scoring, some players don't have that ability to rebound. It's understandable. But at the same time, rebounding is a lot effort. It's about how much you want the ball. If you're big, strong and athletic, there really shouldn't be anything to stop you from rebounding.

There was never a play where I notice Green wasn’t boxing out though. Almost every time a shot went up on the defensive end, he was stuck to technique. That’s not the problem with Green. He does his job for sure. He just doesn’t go above and beyond. When you block out, basically you assure that your man doesn’t get the rebound. And for the most part, Green did that. When he had a man in his area, he put a body on him and kept him off the glass. But rebounding against players like David Lee and Andris Biedrins, you have to do more than just block out. You’ve got to rebound out of your area some, and Green didn’t really do that.

That’s really my biggest gripe with Green’s game. He doesn’t want the ball. He doesn’t attack the glass. I asked this a couple days ago, but when have you seen Jeff Green sky for a rebound, grab it with both hands and pull it in strongly? When have you ever seen him go get the ball? Have you ever seen him with a putback dunk?

Some guys aren’t gifted rebounders. Not everyone is Kevin Love. Just like Ben Wallace doesn’t have the gift of scoring, some players don’t have that ability to rebound. It’s understandable. But at the same time, rebounding is a lot effort. It’s about how much you want the ball. If you’re big, strong and athletic, there really shouldn’t be anything to stop you from rebounding.

What I saw from charting his effort Sunday was that in a lot of cases, he just wasn’t in position to grab a rebound. Not necessarily by his mistake, but because he was help-defending, on the perimeter or just in the wrong place. Because he’s a player that likes to hang around the outside, he’s not inside when a lot of shots go up. Ibaka is down there. That’s a big reason the two have differing offensive rebounding numbers. But maybe that’s the rub. We’ve all said that Green plays outside a bit too much. So here’s a hint that maybe he needs to plant his butt on the block a bit more.

Of course there’s also the counterpoint that OKC’s rebounding “philosophy” is that they do it as a total team. I get that and that’s true. But at the same time, the reason for that is because one or two guys can’t handle to bulk of the duty on their own. Example: Jeff Green.

I admit, I like Jeff Green a lot. I just can’t help it. It’s hard to be around the guy in the locker room and other places and not like him and root for him. He’s always professional, funny, smart and charming. He’s the kind of player that’s great to have in your city representing your team. Now that type of stuff doesn’t always count for wins and loss which is what’s most important, but Uncle Jeff is just terrific and will always be one of my very favorite players in the NBA, no matter where he ends up.

And what makes him such a stellar teammate is despite playing out of position, which is probably costing him money in terms of an extension, he’s never backed down, never complained, never questioned and never puffed out his chest at the negativity. He takes it and always does his best to fill his role. He sacrifices shots and the spotlight for his teammates. He’s the ultimate team player and again, the type of guy that’s great to have on your team.

Plus, he does good things! Jeff Green is a really, really good basketball player. He’s versatile, multi-skilled offensively and has a good amount of athleticism. He might not be Dennis Rodman, but he makes impactful plays on the floor. There’s a reason Scott Brooks plays him 35-40 minutes a game, even if it’s hard to see it. He’s a winning player, plain and simple.

It’s hard not to wonder how he’d perform with a more traditional center playing next to him though. If Green could hide behind a good rebounding and strong defensive center, I don’t think we’d point so much at what he’s doing wrong. He’d be a bit more free to use his versatility and create from his power forward position. Hopefully at some point Cole Aldrich is that guy, but we’ve just got to sit and wait with our fingers crossed there.

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Crow
Crow 5pts

I should have mentioned Green's clutch shooting as another of his above average skills. I forgot to here, though I've noted it many times before.

sbliss
sbliss 5pts

nick :@sbliss

Its hard to have a discussion that completely disregards statistics. You want “players with real talent”. How do you define that talent? I don’t think Jeff Green has “real talent”, at least not when compared to NBA players. I see that while watching games, but I also see that my observations are backed up by statistics. I also see with my eyes that Harden has real talent, and again my observations are backed up by statistics. As someone who watches the games, I don’t know how you can come to the conclusion that Jeff Green has real talent and James Harden doesn’t. However, since I understand that other people may not draw the same conclusions from watching the game that I do, I can back up my opinions using statistics. I can’t understand how you can make a coherent argument supporting your opinion without using statistics. Nor can I understand how you can completely disregard them, and refuse to acknowledge when your observations are completely refuted by them.

Obvioulsy I am trying to jump start discussions with some borderline absurd notions. Obviously stats matter. However, stats don't tell you what inside a player, stats don't tell you how they perform under pressure, they don't tell the effect a player has on other players.

I watched every game Blake Griffin played in Norman in the arena and I was convinced that his moves were too limited and his size wasn't ideal for his talents. I really thought he would struggle in the league.

Guess what, I was wrong. I failed to realize that BB is more than stats. Good players have those intangible mental and competitive aspects.

Jeff Green has intangibles that you guys fail to acknowledge. IMO Harden lacks those same qualities.

TaoMaas
TaoMaas 5pts

@Thomas

Your comment about Mo Pete playing up to his career averages is a very good point that I think is getting lost in all of our talk about trades. Didn't the Thunder take on Mo Pete and Daequan Cook partially in hopes of solving the need for a reliable 3-point shooter? I don't want to see the Thunder chase after a rebounder and have similar results. Not that I think Pete or Cook couldn't be who we hoped they'd be, but they're certainly not getting the minutes to show it, ya know? Also, I wouldn't be surprised to see Green sign for a bit less than he could earn elsewhere, even if future plans are for him to come off the bench. I think his style of play and the fact that he's accepted his role on the Thunder shows that he IS willing to make sacrifices. I also think he's smart enough to hear what folks universally say about the Thunder...that this type of fellowship and belonging simply don't exist elsewhere in the NBA. I suspect that has value to him.

f5alcon
f5alcon 5pts

@Thomas
last one was at tapwerks, but was more pregame home party, but really anywhere with a tv will work,lol.

justin
justin 5pts

Biedrins is not good.

Thomas
Thomas 5pts

f5alcon :
ok, so i was thinking, we need to have a watch party some time.

Whereabouts?

f5alcon
f5alcon 5pts

looks like cousins will play tonight

f5alcon
f5alcon 5pts

ok, so i was thinking, we need to have a watch party some time.

Lefty
Lefty 5pts

@Loud City Jimmy
I'd be on board. I like Krstic and think he has value to a team, but I think that would be a pretty good move. Amundson hasn't played a lot this year, but he was a good rebounder and energy guy for Phoenix, and if he's your fourth best big man (behind Ibaka, Collison and Biedrins) you could be doing a lot worse.

I'd pull the trigger, personally.

Thomas
Thomas 5pts

@Loud City Jimmy
I notice when you run that trade in the trade machine Hollinger's analysis says we would win -1 and that Goldenstate would win +1. I bet the numbers that Hollinger's formula uses actually assume Mo Pete plays (and plays up to his career averages) though, which we know isn't happening here.

Loud City Jimmy
Loud City Jimmy 5pts

You guys see this on ESPN this morning

Jeremy Schmidt, ESPN TrueHoop, Bucksketball.com
Trade Machine: Oklahoma City sends Nenad Krstic and Morris Peterson to Golden State for Andris Biedrins and Lou Amundson

Question marks dot the top of the Western Conference. The Lakers have been up and down all season. The Spurs have been breezing through the season, but have come up short in recent playoffs. With two stars seemingly at the top of their games, the time to strike may be now for the Oklahoma City Thunder. But it's hard to strike with such a middling defense and poor rebounding.

Krstic isn't much of a defender or rebounder at center, and his problems are compounded playing next to Jeff Green. Biedrins would give a badly needed rebounding boost to the Thunder. The downside with Biedrins is a contract that's a bitter pill to swallow, one that would probably leave Green on the outside looking in at season's end. But Biedrins is just nearing age 25 now and could shore up the middle in Oklahoma City for a few years.

Thoughts?

innocent bystander
innocent bystander 5pts

it's funny that the guide (from 2007) has this comment

"so it’s possible that two teams in the same division could hold the top two spots, with the other two division winners at Nos. 3 and 4."

because that's exactly how it stands as of today
1. San Antonio * (SW)
2. Dallas (SW)
3. LA Lakers * (P)
4. Oklahoma City * (NW)

* = division leader

innocent bystander
innocent bystander 5pts

ok, I had to break that up into two posts -- wordpress wasn't accepting the full chunk

Royce, you might consider making a page for this (internal fixed page) and put a permanent link for it on the site, e,g, in the site menu at the top

Daniel Hawaii
Daniel Hawaii 5pts

Damn, so we really do have to worry about New Orleans. I was hoping we wouldn't have to. At least we own the tie-breaker, so if we finish with the same record, we'd have the home court. But it makes losing those games to Memphis and Golden State that much more painful.

innocent bystander
innocent bystander 5pts

Homecourt advantage for any series is determined by record, not seed. So, it's possible that the 5 seed could have homecourt advantage over the 4, or that the 6 seed could have homecourt advantage over the 3.
Tiebreakers
(1) Head-to-head
(2) Division record (if the teams are in the same division)
(3) Conference record
(4) Record vs. Playoff teams, own conference
(5) Record vs. Playoff teams, other conference
(6) Net points, all games

innocent bystander
innocent bystander 5pts

The top four seeds will be the three division winners plus the team with the next best record. Those four will be ordered by record (and tiebreakers if needed), so it's possible that two teams in the same division could hold the top two spots, with the other two division winners at Nos. 3 and 4.
Seeds 5 through 8 are the next four teams according to record (and tiebreakers if needed).
First Round matchups are as follows:
1 vs. 8
4 vs. 5
2 vs. 7
3 vs. 6
Conference Semifinals matchups are as follows:
1-8 Winner vs. 4-5 Winner
2-7 Winner vs. 3-6 Winner

innocent bystander
innocent bystander 5pts

@Daniel
good links, thanks for the clarification

The rules are from the 2007 format change -- I assume they haven't been amended since

In fact, I'm going to post the explantory text in my next comment

Daniel Hawaii
Daniel Hawaii 5pts

Yeah, I guess it does make sense for the team with the better record to have home court. I guess there really isn't much reward to winning your division then.

Daniel
Daniel 5pts

@Daniel Hawaii
Correct. I'm not really a fan of it, but it does make sense. If there was a really crappy division where the best team only won 42 games, it wouldn't really make sense for them to host a lower seeded team which may have won 10 more games than them but wasn't in as weak a division. It prevents us from having playoff series like the NFL did this past year (New Orleans with a 10-4 record having to travel to Seattle to play a 7-9 Seahawks team).

Daniel Hawaii
Daniel Hawaii 5pts

Hmm... you are right Daniel. If we have a worse record than the Hornets, then it doesn't matter if we win our division, they would have the home court in the 1st round over us. That sucks.

andrew
andrew 5pts

@Daniel Hawaii
Its true.

Daniel Hawaii
Daniel Hawaii 5pts

So are you saying if New Orleans finishes 1 game ahead of us, they would have home court over us in the 1st round even though we would be the 4th seed and they the 5th seed? That makes no sense whatsoever.

Daniel
Daniel 5pts

@Daniel
Where I got my info:
http://www.nba.com/features/seedingprimer07.html
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2007_NBA_Playoffs#Seeding

Daniel
Daniel 5pts

@Daniel Hawaii
Just to clarify, record determines homecourt advantage, not seeding. If we win 50 games and the Northwest division, the lowest seed we could get is the #4 seed. However, if the Hornets win 53 games (and finish behind SA and Dallas for the Southwest division), they would still have homecourt advantage over us even though they'd be the #5 seed. This happened in the 07 playoffs. Utah won 51 games and the NW division while Houston won 52 games. Houston had homecourt advantage over Utah even though they were the #5 seed and Utah was the #4 seed.

Daniel Hawaii
Daniel Hawaii 5pts

innocent bystander : It’s really mostly Hornets that threaten us for the remainder of the season.

Not true. If we win our division, then it doesn't matter if the Hornets have a better record than us, we will still have the 4th seed and home court. That's the advantage you get for winning your division.

Thanks for the NBA torrents tip though. That is awesome!

Daniel
Daniel 5pts

@andrew
If only we had inbounded the ball to Green instead of Westbrook for that last second shot in Game 6. I'm sure he would have made it.

andrew
andrew 5pts

Jeff Green is a "winning" basketball player. Yes, what else could explain him shooting 33% from the floor and 29% from 3 in last years playoff loss to the Lakers. Or grabbing 4.7 rebounds in 37 mpg that series.

nick
nick 5pts

@sbliss
Its hard to have a discussion that completely disregards statistics. You want "players with real talent". How do you define that talent? I don't think Jeff Green has "real talent", at least not when compared to NBA players. I see that while watching games, but I also see that my observations are backed up by statistics. I also see with my eyes that Harden has real talent, and again my observations are backed up by statistics. As someone who watches the games, I don't know how you can come to the conclusion that Jeff Green has real talent and James Harden doesn't. However, since I understand that other people may not draw the same conclusions from watching the game that I do, I can back up my opinions using statistics. I can't understand how you can make a coherent argument supporting your opinion without using statistics. Nor can I understand how you can completely disregard them, and refuse to acknowledge when your observations are completely refuted by them.

Daniel
Daniel 5pts

@sbliss
I don't think I can reply to this honestly without being a dick. I have nothing against Green, but unless he takes less money to come off the bench as a 6th man (which he shouldn't, he should try for all the money he can this offseason), he's pretty much gone from this team.

justin
justin 5pts

You want Jeff Green on the team because he's a "winning basketball player" (again, nevermind the fact the team plays worse when he's in the game, stats don't matter!) and he's "talented". That's some deep analysis, how can I even construct a rebuttal? :)

justin
justin 5pts

@sbliss

Yes, let's disregard percentages. Let Nenad Krstic take all our threes, and we'll have Nick Collison shoot our technical free throws. Put Jeff Green at center; who cares if the opponent shooting 50%+ against him, percentages don't matter.

I don't know how long you've been following pro basketball but come on, "I could care less about the percentages" is one of the dumbest things I've ever read.

sbliss
sbliss 5pts

I think you guys think way to much about stats, and prototypical players. I can just see some of you guys passing on Stephen Curry on draft night, too small, can't play defense, blah blah blah. Give me players with real talent and big hearts.

sbliss
sbliss 5pts

@nick

Hey, I know it's a stretch. If you guys are dead set on him not being adequate at the 4 (and I guess I can't really dispute that), I still want the guy on my team. I could care less about the percentages. He's talented and plays winning basketball. Harden, he needs to prove it to me and falling on your arse on a turnover late in the game and not coming back in is not a good start. Yea, tape some ice on your hip and have seat ain't the old school I'm looking for.

IMO, if Green has a last second 3 to win, I think he makes it. If Harden has a last second (forget that he would never put himself in that position), there is no chance in heck it goes in.

nick
nick 5pts

@sbliss
Huh? You want JG to play a spot up 2 and not slash to the basket? Green's a terrible 3 point shooter, he's only good when he's attacking the basket. So to summarize your views, James Harden is a bad shooter and shouldn't play the 2 for our team (37% 3PT shooter) but Jeff Green should play spot up 2 (30% 3PT shooter). Seriously, huh?

innocent bystander
innocent bystander 5pts

RWisMyFavThunder :
I keep having problems with torrents. Maybe because I have a Mac

you can try changing the port number used in your torrent client (some ISPs may have blocking software set for commonly used ports)

or... you could take note of the name of the video file actually being transferred and then google that file name. You might get lucky and find a direct link to the file hosted on some server (but you'll probably need some really good bandwith to grab it this way)

f5alcon
f5alcon 5pts

@jrichordieflyin
i have a copy but i accidentally used a copy protected tuner, so i cant copy it.

RWisMyFavThunder
RWisMyFavThunder 5pts

I keep having problems with torrents. Maybe because I have a Mac

sbliss
sbliss 5pts

justin :@H2HHombre

So we should allow Green to play SF more, how? We have a pretty good small forward already. Or should we move our best player out of position to accommodate a role player?

Why not start Green at the 2. Someone tried KD at that position, so it can't be that outrageous. Go get whatever big guy you can find and play Ibaka at the four.

Let him play a spot up 2. We don't need two guards tying to slash to the basket.

innocent bystander
innocent bystander 5pts

jrichordieflyin :
Anybody know where I can download the Thunder broadcast of the game against the Kings?

google "NBA torrents" and you should find what you want (e.g. DavkaBT)

jrichordieflyin
jrichordieflyin 5pts

Anybody know where I can download the Thunder broadcast of the game against the Kings?

Daniel
Daniel 5pts

I think we're pretty much locked into the 4th seed at this point. I don't see us passing LA or Dallas, but there's nothing wrong with that. I just wonder who the 5th seed will be. I'm not sure who I prefer out of Utah, New Orleans, Denver, and Portland. Denver probably will be out of the race when Melo is traded this/next week (come on, you all know it's going to happen). If I could rank them, I'd put them like this (from most preferred to least preferred):

Portland- no Roy, they won't be able to beat us in a 7 game series without homecourt
Utah- new coach, we seem to have figured them out lately
New Orleans- wild card, I don't want to have to see Chris Paul and David West in the playoffs. Plus I don't think I could take 4-7 games of Chris Paul flops.

innocent bystander
innocent bystander 5pts

that's the silver lining to the Thunder's struggles -- the fact that other teams in the West (including really good or formerly good teams) are struggling even more

innocent bystander
innocent bystander 5pts

of course, neither Dallas nor Lakers are going to be very accomodating to allow us to slip into the 3 spot, so forget that...

and Utah and Denver seem headed downwards, keeping our 4 spot relatively secure...

except -- for New Orleans and Portland.

I guess that those two are who we're going to have to swat away to keep our current position. And unless Portland completely overtakes (don't think that will happen, but you never know) then it's really mostly Hornets that threaten us for the remainder of the season. Maybe.

justin
justin 5pts

@H2HHombre

So we should allow Green to play SF more, how? We have a pretty good small forward already. Or should we move our best player out of position to accommodate a role player?

H2HHombre
H2HHombre 5pts

Yall remember when we almost got Tyson Chandler for a bunch of crap, too bad we didn't pull the trigger for him. He would have been a great defensive/rebounding center that we need. Varejo would be decent, as would Nene, but I would like to try and get Bynum this offseason since apparently LA doesn't appreciate his value.

http://h2hhombre.wordpress.com/

justin
justin 5pts

Sacramento won't trade Cousins for Jeff Green. LOL.

Thomas
Thomas 5pts

I think there's a high probability that Cousins would be a such a distraction and disruption to chemistry we could end up worse off.

I'm really warming up to acquiring Varejao for next year. We aren't winning the championship this year anyway so we might as well go for it so long as the doctors sign off on him.

soonerhammons
soonerhammons 5pts

I'm so glad you went back and looked at that because I had a gut feeling that was the reason for our lack of rebounding last night. There were several times where Green just didn't look interested in going after the ball. It's a major problem with this team. You have to be aggressive and get rebounds in the playoffs if you want to win series. Not sure the Thunder have that necessary quality right now.

innocent bystander
innocent bystander 5pts

current WC standings:

1. San Antonio
2. Dallas
3. Lakers
4. Oklahoma City

if only we had that 3 spot...
what a geographic coup that would be: the I-35 gang!

innocent bystander
innocent bystander 5pts

yeesh, both Lakers and Nuggets get STOMPED tonight

guess we've got some real "pre-AllStar-break" blues going on here

Trackbacks

  1. Tweets that mention Understanding why Jeff Green lacks on the boards | Daily Thunder.com -- Topsy.com says:
    February 14, 2011 at 4:54 pm

    [...] This post was mentioned on Twitter by Royce , E. Sherwood Strauss. E. Sherwood Strauss said: Great @dailythunder piece today on Jeff Green & rebounding http://bit.ly/fHaJZM [...]

  2. The Point Forward » Posts Court Vision: The latest around the league « says:
    February 15, 2011 at 3:46 pm

    [...] Trying to figure out why Jeff Green gets so few rebounds. Remember, Green is a free agent after this [...]

  3. CLNS Radio: Jeff Green Is Not a Good Basketball Player says:
    November 12, 2012 at 7:57 am

    [...] one wants to go into detail about Green’s rebounding in OKC, or lack thereof, you can read this.  But in short, Green was absolutely pitiful on the glass, especially on the offensive end where [...]

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