“Could Kevin Durant ink a $200 million deal in 2016?”
That’s the text of a tweet from Sports Illustrated. Chris Mannix wrote that “several executives believe a max deal for Durant in the new TV revenue-infused market in 2016 could be worth in the neighborhood of $200 million over five years.”
I thought that number sounded awfully high, so I decided to dig in deeper.
After the 2015-16 season, Kevin Durant will have 9 Years of Service in the NBA. Thanks to this chart from Larry Coon’s salary cap FAQ, we see that Durant’s maximum salary will be either 105% of his 2015-16 salary or roughly 30% of the 2016 salary cap, whichever is higher. I say “roughly” because a different formula is used to calculate maximum salaries, so the actual number is lower. Maximum salaries used to be an exact percentage of the salary cap, but these two numbers became decoupled back in 2005. For this example, I’m using 28%, which could be on the high side, as Brian Davis might say. Keep Reading…