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Wednesday Bolts – 4.29.09

by Royce Young on April 29, 2009 at 7:50 am 13 Comments

George Gervin sees Kevin Durant as the most comparable player to him: “Wesley (Gainseville): Which current NBA thunderbolt2319player do you think is most comparable to yourself? George Gervin: I guess I would say Kevin Durant because he is long, he can put the ball on the floor, and he can shoot from anywhere.”

KD’s brother signed yesterday to play college ball with Western Kentucky: ”Cliff Dixon, the half-brother of NBA star Kevin Durant, has signed with WKU. Dixon, a 6-foot-10, 215-pound forward, averaged 15.3 points and eight rebounds at Hutchinson (Kan.) Community College last season. He chose the Hilltoppers over Seton Hall and Missouri and will have two years of eligibility remaining. “We’ve been on him a couple of years,” McDonald said. “(Dixon) is very versatile. He can play all over the floor. He’s long. He’s a good athlete. He’s skilled. He’s got to continue to get better, but he’s a tough mismatch at a lot of different positions. He has a really high skill level and talent level.”

Robert Sarver (Phoenix’s owner) talked about the Suns’ offseason decisions. You know, kind of important considering OKC has their unprotected first round pick next year. But it doesn’t sound like Sarver is that thrilled about rebuilding: “I didn’t get into this business to make money or sit and watch my team lose,” Sarver said. “I’m not prepared to do a three- or four-year rebuilding period and win 25 or 30 games a year. I feel I’d be letting the community down. Plus, I like to win. Losing would be too difficult for me.” Blow-it-up! Blow-it-up! Blow-it-up! Keep Reading…

Tuesday Bolts – 4.28.09

by Royce Young on April 28, 2009 at 8:16 am 57 Comments

Final blogger Rookie of the Year voting: I promise I wasn’t the one that voted for Kyle Weaver or gave Russell a first thunderbolt2318place vote. My ballot looked like this: 1. Derrick Rose 2. Russell Westbrook 3. Brook Lopez 4. Kevin Love 5. O.J. Mayo.

I wish people would quit fantasizing about this, but yet another “the Blazers screwed up, what if they had Kevin Durant?” story. But the reality is, the more Greg Oden picks up five fouls in seven minutes and the more 30-point games KD puts up, it won’t go away: “Now, there is plenty of time for Greg Oden to become a star. He might become just what Portland needs – a defensive anchor, a dominant big man. But he looks more like a guy who is going to average 13 points and 11 rebounds, block a few shots, and struggle to stay healthy. Meanwhile, Durant turned 20 this season, and here are his relevant stats for Oklahoma City this season: 25.3 points on .476 shooting, .422 from three-point range, and .863 from the line; 6.5 rebounds, 2.8 assists, 1.3 steals, 0.7 blocks. He is a genuine superstar, right now … With Durant and Roy, Portland would have been a legitimate threat to topple the Lakers this year, and in many years to come. With Oden, the Blazers are a nice team that might one day get serious. This point has been made before, but it’s being driven home right now. This is the first playoff run for Portland’s collection of young talent, and the first chance to see just what — besides experience — it is missing. And it is missing a third scorer, and another star. Right now, this is Darko Milicic over Carmelo Anthony, Chris Bosh and Dwyane Wade.”

Draft Express statisical analysis on shooting guard (pay attention): “Harden’s biggest shortcoming ended up being in the perimeter shooting department. He was terrific on the very few catch and shoot opportunities he received with his feet set (2.4 Pos/G), but really struggled when being contested (.85 PPP) or shooting off the dribble (.73 PPP). In fact, the 27% he shot from the field off the dribble is the lowest of any of the nineteen players in our sample. Fortunately for Harden, this is clearly a part of his game he can work on, but he’ll have to put in the appropriate time in the gym. In terms of things a team can count on him to do well in the short-run, his ability to score with space deserves consideration at the top of that list.” Keep Reading…

Why Ben Gordon does not fit with the Thunder

by Royce Young on April 27, 2009 at 9:49 pm 21 Comments

Oklahoma City was one of the worst teams in the league – let me check that – the worst team in the league statistically at the shooting guard position this year. Starting Damien Wilkins there 14 times can do that to you. It’s a position Sam Presti is definitely looking to improve this offseason whether it be through the draft or the free agent market. And it seems like a lot of people are on the Ben Gordon bandwagon. For instance, Bill Simmons said in a recent column that the Thunder could “desperately use someone like him.”

Ben Gordon is a dynamic player. Heck, he’s probably bumped that offseason contract up a couple bills based on his outstanding play in the playoffs. He has been fantastic against the Celtics. A true offensive joy to watch. At 6-3, nobody that size gets a shot off in traffic like he does. He’s got a lightning quick release and seemingly can pull up from anywhere. He knocks down threes, has a terrific mid-range game, can get to the rim and gets to the line. He’s the total offensive package.

But he doesn’t fit the Thunder.

The reason? It’s simple: Gordon is a scorer. That’s what he does, that’s what he’s always going to do. Simmons put it extremely well:

He finished [Game 2] with the ultimate Ben Gordon box score: 41 points, one rebound, no assists. This is why nobody touched him last summer. He does one thing and that’s it. He is always happiest when he’s the one scoring. When the ship is sinking, he’s like Billy Zane in “Titanic” — one of the first guys to jump off. This is what scares GMs, and this is why a team that could desperately use someone like him (say, [Oklahoma City]) might be afraid to spend for him. Especially in this economy.

But I don’t think Oklahoma City could use someone like him. He works with a team like Chicago where the scoring is distributed among a couple of players without one star scorer (unless you consider him to be the star scorer).

Don’t get me wrong, he’s a fantastic player. But the Thunder’s already got their stat stuffer scorer – to the tune of 25.3 ppg and rising. And around that, you need complementary scorers. Not guys that are going to be looking for their shot first and taking possessions away from your top gun. Kobe Bryant doesn’t have a guy he’s competing to get shots with. LeBron doesn’t. Dwyane Wade doesn’t. And Kevin Durant shouldn’t. They have guys like Lamar Odom, Pau Gasol, Mo Williams, Delonte West, Michael Beasley and Jermaine O’Neal to balance the scoring. Jeff Green is a perfect complementary player. Russell Westbrook can score, but he (supposedly) is a pass first guy. Thabo Sefolosha obviously isn’t a scoring-minded guard. Nenad Krstic just takes shots when he’s open or set up. This team is Durant’s and it should stay that way.  Keep Reading…

Monday Bolts – 4.27.09

by Royce Young on April 27, 2009 at 7:57 am 29 Comments

HoopsWorld talked with the Commissioner: “I love talking about the greatness of our youngsters. The continued thunderbolt2317greatness of the Shaqs, the Kobes, the Nashes, Duncans, Garnetts, combined with the fusion of these youngsters like Derrick Rose-who’s receiving his much-deserved Rookie of the Year award-Kevin Durant, Chris Paul, it’s just an incredible group. And they’re incredible on and off the court… I’m happy with the way it’s all come together, and I’m very proud of our players.”

The On Deck Circle’s top six guys to build a franchise around: “No. 6, Kevin Durant: watch out for this guy. If he puts on a little bit more muscle he will be one of the most serious threats in the NBA and his supporting cast in Oklahoma is getting better.”

Scott Howard-Cooper of SI on the MIP debate: “Most Improved Player is a great debate. Kevin Durant ordinarily shouldn’t be in contention — his strides came from the first season to second, when players should make their big move with the rookie learning curve complete. But Durant, who was drafted No. 2 overall in 2007 and projected for stardom, has exceeded the normal trajectory. It wasn’t hard to find a coach or executive who would knock him last season as a gunner more than a scorer without a clue about defense. This season, with much more discipline in his offense, Durant went from shooting 43 percent to 47.6, and from 20.3 points a game to 25.3, despite just 24 more attempts.” Keep Reading…

Saturday morning cartoons: 1 on 1 with Kevin Durant

by Royce Young on April 25, 2009 at 8:00 am 3 Comments

How about some moving pictures to get you going this Saturday morning? Sure it’s no Animaniacs or The Tick, but it’s video with sound and it’s interesting. At least I think so. Plus cartoons stink these days. What’s even on? Yugio or some crap? Do they still even exist? Anyway…

Back at the beginning of April, Brian Davis had a nice 7-minute interview with KD. It’s really a great interview that touches on a lot including the team’s improvement, how he’s learning to be a leader and how he used to be shy but has learned to get angry on the court. Plus, there’s one kind of awkward question about Durant’s lip curling or something. Anyway, it’s really incredible to me how team-oriented and humble KD is. I love that dude.

PER, PAWS, NBA EFF etc.

by Joe on April 25, 2009 at 6:56 am 16 Comments

I got an email from Crow (former frequent poster here)which among other things pointed out the really impressive rookie numbers for our “other” rookie D.J. White.  I realize that the sample size is ridiculously small being only 7 games and 130 minutes, but I like crunching numbers and I enjoy writing and talking about basketball so bear with me. It’s a weak time of the year for Thunder news.

There are a ton of “one number” NBA metrics out there that essentially add up all of the players positive statistical contributions on the court and subtract the negative ones to come up with a number that tells us “how good” one player is, and then allow us to make comparisons with other players. What usually differentiates one metric from another is the weighting  or value that is given to each stat. Is a rebound worth as much as a steal? Is a blocked shot more valuable than an assist. That’s the rub.

What I’m leading up to is that all of these metrics have some value, but you’ll never get consensus over which is best.  Keep Reading…

Friday Bolts – 4.24.09

by Royce Young on April 24, 2009 at 8:05 am 12 Comments

The Ford Center’s renovations are underway: “We are officially shut down at the Ford Center,” said Gary Desjardins, thunderbolt2316general manager of the Ford Center. “We’ll open back up in October.”Desjardins provided an update on the facility to members of the Oklahoma City Convention & Visitors Bureau on Thursday. He oversees the arena and exhibit halls at the Cox Business Services Convention Center. By the time the Thunder hits the court next season, there will be several changes made to the Ford Center. The publicly funded Ford Center was completed in 2002 at a cost of $89 million. In anticipation of luring an NBA team, Oklahoma City voters approved $120 million in improvements to the center in 2008. Some of that work has been completed, but a major project will include renovation of several areas of the center by October. Desjardins said when the center reopens there will be changes, some not noticeable at first glance. Other areas will not really be touched during renovations. “When you walk through the doors in the entry level, you won’t see a whole lot,” he said. “That’s probably the only level that’s not getting a huge makeover.”

Great piece in Sporting News Today about Jeremy Tyler’s decision to turn pro in Europe: “The calculated risk here is not just about him making the NBA. I would think he could sit around and eat doughnuts for a year and have better than 50 percent chance to make the NBA,” Fraschilla. “There’s more of a chance to make a mistake – putting yourself in the wrong situation – in Europe because of the unknown.”

The Thunder donated some items to the Oklahoma History Museum: “Thunder Chairman, Clay Bennett, announced the donation of the first season items to the Oklahoma History Center to commemorate the Thunder’s historic inaugural NBA season. Among the items donated– the official game ball from the final home game.  They also donated shoes from Kevin Durant, Jeff Green and Russell Westbrook as well as the Thunder bench seat from the Ford Center. Bennett was officially honored for being named Oklahoman of the Year for 2008.” Keep Reading…

Comparing and understanding Russell Westbrook using hotspots

by Royce Young on April 23, 2009 at 1:27 pm 12 Comments

It came out this week that Russell Westbrook finished fourth in the Rookie of the Year voting, which was a little low considering he floated around the top spot for much of the last three months. Probably the most likely reason for that is his subpar field goal percentage, a not so awesome 39.8. I wrote a month ago about Westbrook and how we should be patient in his development as a point guard and highlighted some stats from Deron Williams, Dwayne Wade, Rajon Rondo and Tony Parker’s rookie seasons. But I got to looking at their hotspots recently and that really helps hammer home the point. Now hotspots only go back to 2004 so Parker’s rookie season is missing, but I used seasons that might be comparable anyway to Westbrook. (Also, just so it’s known, I’m considering a jumpshot anything outside the four closest areas).

First Russell’s 2008-09 hotspot chart:

picture-31

Westbrook took 68.7 percent of his shots from about 12 feet and in and shot 42.4 percent in those areas. He only took 31.3 percent true jump shots out of his 1095 field goal attempts on the season. He shot 27.1 percent from three on 129 attempts. Not good shooting numbers anywhere, but if he hits two more shots at each of the third level spots, he hits about 42 percent in all those areas and shoots 41 percent for the year. And that’s just 10 extra makes. Or if he finishes 10 more layups at the rim that barely rolled out (how many of those did he have – 50?) and he hits 46 percent in that area and 41 percent for the year. Keep Reading…

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  • VP Biden called Durant to thank him for donation
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  • Thunder land the 12th pick in the 2013 draft
  • Thunder donate $1 million to aid with disaster relief
  • Kevin Durant donates $1 million to disaster relief
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